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Prediction published on Sep 17, 2026 11:04 AM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Sep 17, 2026 11:04 AM
Bologna host Torino at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara on September 19, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 13:00 local time. This Serie A fifth-round fixture brings together two teams that have endured difficult starts to the campaign. Bologna are still searching for their first league victory after collecting one point from four games, while Torino have three points following one win and three defeats. The hosts sit 16th in Serie A, with the visitors two places above them in 14th. Both sides enter the contest after losing their latest match without scoring, increasing the importance of a positive result in Bologna.
Bologna have opened their Serie A campaign with no wins, one draw and three defeats. They are averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per league match, figures that underline the difficulties experienced at both ends of the pitch. Their broader five-match record is also disappointing, with one draw and four losses. Across that sequence, they have scored an average of only 0.4 goals and conceded 1.2 per game.
Their most recent outing ended in a 1-0 defeat against Napoli on September 13. Stanislav Lobotka scored the only goal, leaving Bologna with a third loss from their opening four league fixtures. That result also led to a change on the bench, as Domenico Tedesco was dismissed and replaced by Raffaele Palladino.
The new appointment arrives at an important moment. Bologna must avoid matching their poorest five-game start in the top flight, having previously collected only one point after five matches in the 2011/12 season. Their home record also provides cause for concern: since the beginning of December, they have suffered 10 Serie A home defeats and conceded 25 goals, both described as the highest totals in the competition over that period.
Despite those numbers, the squad is considered capable of producing more than its opening results suggest. Palladino's immediate task is to improve an attack that has struggled to score consistently while giving the team greater stability after a winless beginning.
Torino have experienced a similarly challenging start. Their four Serie A matches have delivered one victory and three defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Looking at their last five matches, including the Coppa Italia, the visitors have recorded one win and four losses. They averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded during that run.
Torino's latest game was a 2-0 home defeat against Roma on September 14, with Donyell Malen and Nicolò Pisilli scoring for the visitors. Their three-point return represents Torino's lowest total after four matches since the 2020/21 season. It is also only the third time that the club have lost at least three of their opening four Serie A fixtures.
Their only league victory came against Fiorentina, and that success was recorded in Torino's most recent away match. A second consecutive away win would therefore offer encouragement, although the club have managed back-to-back Serie A victories on the road only once since September 2024. Another notable trend is that Torino have not been ahead at half-time in any of their last 15 Serie A matches.
Like Bologna, the visitors arrive under pressure to reverse a poor sequence. Torino have lost four of their last five games in all competitions, so their victory over Fiorentina remains the exception within their recent run rather than the start of sustained momentum.
Bologna are expected to retain a 4-3-3 system despite the coaching change. Skorupski is set to return in goal, with Holm, Theate, Heggem and Miranda forming the defensive line. Ferguson is expected to direct the midfield alongside Odgaard, while Amondarain and Pobega are competing for the remaining place. Bologna are attempting to recover Orsolini in time for the match; if he is unavailable, Cambiaghi is ready to step in. Dovbik is also listed as doubtful.
Torino, coached by Ignazio Abate, could use either a 3-5-1-1 or a 3-5-2. Paleari is expected in goal, with Coco leading the three-man defence. Maripan, Comuzzo, Comert and Marianucci are competing for the other two defensive positions. On the flanks, Belghali and Pedersen are alternatives on one side, while Lazaro and Cacciamani are options on the other.
Gineitis, Mandragora and Fitz-Jim are favoured for the central midfield roles. Vlasic could operate behind Simeone, while Adams and Zapata are the named alternatives to partner the Argentine forward if Torino select two attackers.
The numbers point toward a closely contested fixture between teams short of confidence. Bologna have scored only twice on average across every five matches at their recent rate of 0.4 goals per game, while Torino have also failed to build consistent attacking momentum. Both clubs were beaten without scoring in their previous league outings, and neither has shown the form required to approach this match with clear superiority.
There are nevertheless some indicators in Bologna's favour. The supplied win probabilities give the hosts a 46% chance of victory, compared with 27% for both the draw and a Torino win. Bologna's head-to-head summary against Torino is also positive, showing three wins, two draws and no defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. However, the most recent meeting is listed as a 2-1 result on February 15, 2026, so the visitors cannot be dismissed.
Goal-market probabilities are finely balanced. Both teams to score is rated at 52%, but under 2.5 goals carries the same probability. Bologna's limited scoring output, Torino's failure to score against Roma and the hosts' narrow defeat at Napoli all support the prospect of a game decided by small margins. With both teams having lost three of their opening four Serie A matches, avoiding another setback may be as important as taking risks in pursuit of victory.
Bologna vs Torino prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Bologna
Torino
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
4
6
4
6
2.5
6
4
6
4
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
9
1
10
0