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Prediction published on Feb 21, 2026 6:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Feb 21, 2026 6:02 PM
The Serie A fixture between Bologna and Udinese will close the 26th round of the Italian top flight on Monday, February 23, 2026. The match at the Renato Dall’Ara promises to be a crucial one for both sides, separated by just two points in the standings. Bologna sit ninth, while Udinese are currently eleventh. Both teams have experienced mixed results lately, and this encounter could be decisive in shaping their ambitions for the rest of the season.
After a difficult run in Serie A, with only two wins in their last thirteen league matches, Bologna have shown signs of recovery. Their recent 2-1 victory away at Torino ended a five-game losing streak in the league and boosted morale ahead of this home fixture. In Europe, the Rossoblù also secured a valuable 1-0 win against Brann in the Europa League playoff first leg, confirming their ability to grind out results when it matters most.
Despite these encouraging signs, Bologna’s defensive record remains a concern. They have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 13 Serie A matches and in all of their last 12 home games. Their season statistics show a balanced but inconsistent side: 9 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. The team’s attacking output has been modest, averaging just 0.8 goals per game over the last five fixtures, but their resilience in tight contests has kept them competitive.
At home, Bologna have struggled to maintain consistency, failing to win at the Dall’Ara since early November. However, they remain unbeaten in their last seven home meetings against Udinese, recording two wins and five draws. Interestingly, six of those seven encounters saw both teams find the net, suggesting that goals at both ends could once again be on the cards.
Coach Vincenzo Italiano is expected to rotate his squad slightly ahead of the Europa League return leg. Defenders Eivind Helland and Lorenzo De Silvestri are available again, while Charalampos Lykogiannis remains the only absentee. In attack, Santiago Castro and Riccardo Orsolini lead the scoring charts for Bologna, with Orsolini having a particularly strong record against Udinese, contributing to seven goals in previous meetings.
Udinese arrive in Bologna after two consecutive league defeats, both by a 2-1 scoreline against Lecce and Sassuolo. These setbacks have cost them their place in the top ten, and another loss would mark their worst run of the season. Despite this dip, their overall campaign remains competitive, with 9 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.
On the road, Udinese have been unpredictable. Only one of their last 17 away league matches has ended in a draw, showing a tendency for decisive outcomes. Their attacking line has been weakened by the absence of top scorer Keinan Davis, who remains sidelined through injury. There are also doubts over defender Oumar Solet, who is struggling with a muscle issue. In Davis’s absence, either Vakoun Bayo or Adam Buksa is expected to partner Nicolò Zaniolo up front, as the visitors look for a spark in the final third.
Udinese’s recent head-to-head record against Bologna is evenly balanced, with one win, three draws, and one defeat in their last five meetings. The most recent clash, however, ended in a convincing 3-0 victory for Udinese in November 2025, a result that Bologna will be eager to avenge in front of their home supporters.
This fixture brings together two sides with contrasting momentum. Bologna have regained confidence after back-to-back wins in league and Europe, while Udinese are looking to halt a losing streak that has dented their progress. The hosts’ defensive fragility could still be an issue, but their attacking options and home advantage make them slight favorites.
Historically, matches between these two teams have been competitive, often producing goals on both sides. Given Bologna’s tendency to concede and Udinese’s need to respond after recent defeats, another open contest seems likely. The Rossoblù’s unbeaten home record against Udinese and their improved form suggest they are well placed to extend their positive run.
Considering the available data and recent performances, the most plausible scenario points towards a home result combined with multiple goals. Bologna’s attacking duo of Castro and Orsolini could once again play a decisive role, while Udinese’s depleted frontline may struggle to keep pace if the hosts start strongly.
Bologna vs Udinese prediction by BetMines:
Double Chance 1X + Over 1.5 goals — Bologna are favored to avoid defeat while at least two goals are expected in the match.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Bologna
Udinese
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
6
4
7
3
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1