Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona Prediction: Preview and Analysis of the Match | Champions League

On Tuesday, April 15, at the iconic Westfalenstadion, Borussia Dortmund will need nothing short of a football miracle as they host Barcelona in the second leg of the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals. The first leg at the Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys ended in a devastating 4-0 win for the Blaugrana, with Lewandowski scoring a brace and goals from Raphinha and rising star Lamine Yamal completing the rout. Kovac’s side struggled to create chances in the first leg, with Serhou Guirassy having the only real glimpses of goal. With Barcelona all but certain to progress to the semi-finals, Dortmund's objective now is to salvage pride and put on a show for their fans—especially the legendary Yellow Wall. As last year’s runners-up, they are expected to fight till the end and aim for a memorable victory against one of the favorites to lift the trophy. For Barcelona boss Hansi Flick, whose team is chasing a historic treble not seen since the Pep Guardiola era, this match offers a chance to rotate the squad and give minutes to players eager to prove themselves. Expect an open and entertaining contest, potentially full of goals and drama.

Borussia Dortmund's recent Form and Key Stats

Dortmund's recent form has been mixed. In their last five matches across all competitions, they have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. In their latest Bundesliga clash, they drew 2-2 in Der Klassiker against Bayern Munich, with goals from Beier and Anton helping them stay in the European qualification race.

In the Champions League this season, Dortmund have registered 7 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, scoring 28 and conceding 18 goals in 13 matches—an average of 2.15 scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Impressively, they are unbeaten in their last 3 home games in the competition, with 1 win and 2 draws. Overall, they have only lost 2 of their last 18 home Champions League fixtures.

Barcelona's Recent Form and Key Stats

Barcelona are in sensational form. A narrow 1-0 away win over Leganes in La Liga Matchday 31 extended their unbeaten run to 24 games and strengthened their position at the top of the table. They boast the best attacking record in Spain, with 84 goals in 31 games—an incredible 2.71 per match—led by top scorer Robert Lewandowski, who has already bagged 25 goals.

In the Champions League, the Catalan giants are just as dominant. After finishing second in their group with 19 points (6 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), they breezed past Benfica in the Round of 16 with 0-1 and 3-1 wins. Barcelona have scored 36 goals so far in the competition—an average of 3.2 per game—while conceding just 14.

Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona Prediction and Tactical Analysis

Given the 4-goal deficit from the first leg, Dortmund will need a miracle to turn the tie around. However, they’ll be motivated to deliver a strong performance in front of their home fans and try to upset one of Europe’s top clubs.

With nothing to lose, the German side is expected to play with freedom and an attacking mindset. This sets the stage for an open encounter, especially considering that each of the last three meetings between these two teams ended with at least 4 total goals.

Hansi Flick may choose to rest key players ahead of a crucial run-in, including a Copa del Rey final against Real Madrid on April 26 and a tight La Liga title race. Even so, Barcelona's bench strength means they remain dangerous.

For these reasons, the BetMines Algorithm prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona predicts a match with more than 2.5 goals. 

• BetMines Algorithm prediction for the Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona match predicts Over 2.5 goals at 67%.
• BetMines Algorithm prediction for the Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona match predicts Under 2.5 goals at 33%. 

Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona Predicted Lineups

Borussia Dortmund (4-2-3-1): Kobel; Ryerson, Can, Anton, Bensebaini; Gross, Nmecha; Gittens, Brandt, Adeyemi; Guirassy. Manager: Niko Kovac

Barcelona (4-2-3-1): Szczesny; Koundé, Araujo, Cubarsí, Martin; De Jong, Pedri; Yamal, Fermin Lopez, Raphinha; Lewandowski. Manager: Hansi Flick