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Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | DFB Pokal 02-12-2025

Borussia Dortmund

0 - 1

FT

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Signal Iduna Park
T. Stieler
light rain 7.02 °C

Prediction published on Nov 30, 2025 9:02 PM by Dario in Germany - DFB Pokal | Modified on Nov 30, 2025 9:02 PM

The DFB-Pokal Round of 16 brings an immediate rematch between Borussia Dortmund and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, just three days after their Bundesliga encounter. This time, the stage is set at Signal Iduna Park, where the home side will look to capitalize on their recent 2-1 league victory over the same opponent. The match kicks off on Tuesday, December 2, at 21:00, and promises to be another high-intensity clash between two of Germany’s most attack-minded teams. Historically, these sides have produced thrilling encounters, and with both in strong form, fans can expect another open contest filled with goals and drama.


Borussia Dortmund’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Borussia Dortmund enter this DFB-Pokal tie in solid form, having lost only once in their last five matches across all competitions. Their recent 2-1 win over Leverkusen in the Bundesliga was a statement performance, following a convincing 4-0 triumph against Villarreal in the Champions League. Under Niko Kovac, the team has shown resilience and attacking flair, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over their last five outings. In the domestic cup, Dortmund’s journey has not been without tension: they edged past Rot-Weiß Essen 1-0 in the first round and needed penalties to overcome Eintracht Frankfurt in the second. Both goals in those matches came after halftime, highlighting their ability to grow into games.


At home, the Black and Yellows have been particularly strong, remaining unbeaten at halftime in their last 14 home fixtures and winning the first half in 12 of those. Their attacking consistency is remarkable — they have scored in each of their last 23 matches in all competitions. Karim Adeyemi has been a standout performer, finding the net in both the recent league win over Leverkusen and the Champions League clash with Villarreal. With Maximilian Beier sidelined due to a muscle issue, Adeyemi’s partnership with Serhou Guirassy will be crucial. Young defender Aaron Anselmino also impressed by scoring in the previous meeting between these sides, adding another dimension to Dortmund’s offensive threat.


Bayer 04 Leverkusen’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Bayer Leverkusen arrive in Dortmund after a rare setback. Their 1-2 home defeat to the same opponent ended a strong run of six wins in seven Bundesliga matches. Despite that loss, Kasper Hjulmand’s men remain one of the most consistent teams in Germany this season, averaging 2.6 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded across their last five games. In the DFB-Pokal, Leverkusen’s campaign has been eventful: a comfortable 4-0 win over Großaspach was followed by a dramatic 4-2 extra-time victory against Paderborn, where their attacking quality eventually prevailed. However, defensive lapses have been evident — they have yet to keep a clean sheet away from home in either the league or the cup.


Injuries could again test Leverkusen’s depth. Lucas Vazquez, Equi Fernandez, Alex Tape, and Arthur are all nursing knocks, forcing Hjulmand to rely on his in-form forwards. New signing Christian Kofane has quickly made an impact, scoring against Dortmund in the league and contributing alongside Patrik Schick and Alejandro Grimaldo in the cup. The attacking trio has been central to Leverkusen’s success, with Grimaldo’s creativity and Schick’s finishing providing constant danger. Leverkusen’s recent record in the DFB-Pokal is mixed — semi-finalists in consecutive seasons before a surprise exit to Bielefeld in 2025 — but their attacking firepower ensures they remain a threat in any knockout tie.


Dortmund vs Leverkusen Prediction and Tactical Overview


This second meeting in just a few days is expected to be another fast-paced and open affair. Both teams favor attacking football, and their recent head-to-head history supports the likelihood of goals. Dortmund have won two of the last five encounters, losing only once, and have averaged two goals per game in that span. Leverkusen, meanwhile, have scored in 23 of their last 24 matches, while Dortmund have found the net in 23 consecutive outings — a clear sign that both sides rarely fail to score. The combination of Adeyemi’s pace, Guirassy’s strength, and Leverkusen’s dynamic front line suggests that defenses will be under pressure throughout the match.


While Dortmund will look to exploit their home advantage and maintain their strong cup record at Signal Iduna Park, Leverkusen’s attacking depth ensures they can never be counted out. The tactical battle between Kovac’s structured pressing and Hjulmand’s fluid offensive transitions could define the outcome. Given the attacking form of both teams and their recent high-scoring encounters, another goal-filled contest seems likely. The fans can expect an entertaining night of football where momentum could swing rapidly from one end to the other.


Dortmund vs Leverkusen prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% probability.

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Predictions

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Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Borussia Dortmund

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

10%

1

90%

9

2.5

40%

4

60%

6

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

60%

6

40%

4

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

BetMines

Standings of Borussia Dortmund and Bayer 04 Leverkusen in DFB Pokal

Who will win ?

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Frequently asked questions

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When will Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen be played?
The DFB Pokal match between Borussia Dortmund and Bayer 04 Leverkusen will be played on December 2, 2025 at 20:00.
Where will Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen be played?
The match between Borussia Dortmund and Bayer 04 Leverkusen will be played at Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund - Germany
Who will referee Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
The referee for the match will be T. Stieler.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen in the DFB Pokal?
The odds are: Borussia Dortmund to win 1.83, draw 4.00, Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 3.60.
What are the betting odds for Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the DFB Pokal?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.53 and Under 2.5 at 2.40.
Will both Borussia Dortmund and Bayer 04 Leverkusen score in the DFB Pokal?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.50, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.50.
What is the most likely correct score for Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen in the DFB Pokal?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 8.
What are the head-to-head results between Borussia Dortmund and Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Borussia Dortmund won 2 times, Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 1, and 2 ended in a draw.

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