The final round of the UEFA Champions League league phase brings a high-stakes clash between Borussia Dortmund and Inter Milan. Both sides still have plenty to play for, with qualification scenarios hanging in the balance. The German side are currently 16th in the standings, occupying the last seeded play-off spot, while Inter sit slightly higher in 14th but are not yet assured of automatic progression. With both teams separated by just a few points, this encounter at Signal Iduna Park promises to be decisive for their European ambitions.

Borussia Dortmund’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Borussia Dortmund approach this match in solid form, having recently defeated FC Union Berlin 3-0 on January 24, 2026. Over their last five matches, they have recorded three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. In the Champions League, their record stands at three wins, two draws, and two losses, with an average of 2.7 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match. These numbers underline their attacking strength but also highlight some defensive vulnerabilities.

The Black and Yellow have been particularly strong at home, where they have not lost at half time in their last 20 Champions League fixtures. They have also won at half time in nine of their last 14 home games in the competition. Their matches tend to be lively, with over 0.5 goals scored in the first half of each of their last 13 games and over 1.5 total goals in the last 11. Dortmund have scored at least once in 31 of their last 33 matches across all competitions, showing remarkable consistency in front of goal.

Despite their attacking prowess, Dortmund will have to cope without defender Daniel Svensson, who is suspended after being sent off in the previous match against Tottenham. Marcel Sabitzer and Niklas Sule are also unavailable due to injuries. The team will rely heavily on their offensive unit, with Serhou Guirassy expected to lead the line. Although he has only scored three goals in this league phase, his presence remains crucial for the German side’s attacking rhythm.

Inter Milan’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Inter Milan come into this fixture after a commanding 6-2 victory over Pisa on January 23, 2026. Their recent form mirrors Dortmund’s, with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In the Champions League, Inter’s campaign has been a rollercoaster: four wins and three losses, with an average of 1.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. They began the group strongly with four consecutive victories but have since suffered three straight defeats, putting their automatic qualification hopes at risk.

Inter’s away record, however, remains impressive. They have won all three of their away games in this league phase, with an aggregate score of 9-0. The Italian side have scored in each of their last 15 away matches and have not lost at half time in 18 of their last 20 fixtures. They have also won at half time in their last three away games, showing their ability to start matches strongly. Inter have not drawn in 32 of their last 34 matches, suggesting that a decisive result is likely once again.

Several familiar faces will return to Dortmund, as both Manuel Akanji and Henrikh Mkhitaryan previously played for the German club. Mkhitaryan was on the scoresheet in the recent win over Pisa, and his experience could prove vital in this crucial European tie. Inter’s motivation is clear: a win could secure automatic qualification, while a defeat might leave them unseeded in the play-offs.

Match Analysis and Tactical Overview

This encounter between Borussia Dortmund and Inter Milan is expected to be open and competitive, with both sides boasting strong attacking records. Dortmund’s home advantage and consistent scoring form make them a dangerous opponent, but Inter’s efficiency on the road cannot be underestimated. The German side’s attacking statistics suggest they will look to impose their rhythm early, while Inter’s solid defensive structure and quick transitions could make them lethal on the counterattack.

Historically, meetings between these two teams have been balanced. Their last head-to-head ended 3-2 in favor of Dortmund back in 2019, and the overall record stands at one win each. Given both teams’ recent scoring trends, another high-scoring affair could be on the cards. Dortmund’s tendency to score in both halves and Inter’s consistent away form point toward an entertaining and goal-filled contest.

• Borussia Dortmund have scored in 31 of their last 33 matches.


• Inter Milan have scored in 29 of their last 31 matches.


• Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of Dortmund’s last 11 Champions League games.


• Inter have won all three of their away games in this league phase by an aggregate of 9-0.


• Both teams average more than 2 goals scored per match in their last five fixtures.

Prediction: Borussia Dortmund vs Inter Milan

With both sides showing strong attacking form and defensive lapses, goals are expected at both ends. Dortmund’s home record and Inter’s away efficiency suggest a balanced contest where neither team will settle for a draw. The statistics from recent matches and the offensive trends of both clubs make one outcome stand out.

Borussia Dortmund vs Inter Milan prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 55% probability.