Borussia Dortmund vs Lille Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Champions League

At Signal Iduna Park, backed by its legendary Yellow Wall, Borussia Dortmund is aiming to secure a spot in the Champions League quarter-finals. However, the challenge is not an easy one, as they face one of the surprise teams of the tournament’s first phase: Bruno Genesio’s Lille. The French side impressively finished the single-round group stage in seventh place with five wins, one draw, and two losses, giving them the advantage of playing the return leg on home soil. To reach the Champions League round of 16, Dortmund had to overcome Sporting Lisbon in the playoffs. Under new coach Niko Kovac, who took over in early February, the German side has shown great defensive solidity, securing a 3-0 victory in Portugal and a goalless draw at home in the return leg. This upcoming clash promises to be a balanced encounter, with the home side determined to win at any cost to ease the pressure ahead of next week’s difficult away fixture in France. Dortmund will likely try to capitalize on its greater experience in European competitions.

Borussia Dortmund's Shape and Key Statistics

One of Niko Kovac’s main priorities was to strengthen the defense, and looking at the team’s recent performances, he seems to be succeeding. Dortmund has not conceded a goal in its last three matches across all competitions.

At home in the Champions League, Borussia Dortmund has recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per match. The team’s top scorer in the UCL is Serhou Guirassy, with 10 goals. 

Lille's Shape and Key Statistics

Lille has been one of the biggest surprises of the season, especially in the Champions League. The French side finished the group stage in seventh place with 16 points, just one more than Borussia Dortmund.

However, Bruno Genesio’s squad is not in its best form. In Ligue 1, Lille has lost two of its last four matches (against PSG and Le Havre) and has also been eliminated from the Coupe de France by Dunkerque.

Borussia Dortmund vs Lille Prediction and Tactical Overview

Borussia Dortmund and Lille haven’t faced each other since the 2001/02 Europa League season, and this match is expected to be closely contested. However, the home team is favored, thanks to the home advantage and Lille’s recent dip in form.

Additionally, Niko Kovac’s emphasis on defensive stability and Dortmund’s greater experience in high-stakes European matches are key factors. Based on these aspects, the BetMines algorithm prediction leans heavily towards a home victory.

• The BetMines algorithm prediction for the Borussia Dortmund vs Lille match predicts the sign 1 at 56%
• The BetMines algorithm prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Lille match predicts the X sign at 22%
• The BetMines algorithm prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Lille match predicts the sign 2 at 23%

Probable Lineups Borussia Dortmund vs Lille

Borussia Dortmund (4-2-3-1): Kobel; Ryerson, Can, Schlotterbeck, Bensebaini; Sabitzer, Gross; Adeyemi, Reyna, Beyer; Guirassy. Coach: Sahin

Lille (4-2-3-1): Chevalier; Meunier, Diakitè, Ribeiro, Gudmundsson; Andrè, Gomes; Mukau, Haraldsson, Bakker; David. Coach: Genesio