The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and SC Freiburg promises to be a thrilling encounter filled with attacking intent and high tempo football. Scheduled for Sunday, April 26, this fixture comes at a crucial stage of the season, with both teams fighting for their respective objectives. Dortmund, currently second in the standings, aim to bounce back after a recent setback, while Freiburg, sitting seventh, continue their push for European qualification. The statistical trends suggest a match rich in goals, with both sides showing strong offensive patterns in recent weeks.

Borussia Dortmund’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Borussia Dortmund enter this fixture after a 2-1 defeat against TSG Hoffenheim on April 18, a result that ended a positive run of three wins in their last five matches. Despite that loss, their attacking numbers remain impressive, averaging 2.0 goals scored per game and conceding just 1.0 on average this season. At home, Dortmund have been particularly dominant, scoring in 27 of their last 28 Bundesliga matches and producing Over 1.5 goals in 22 of their last 23 league encounters.

Their first-half performances have also been noteworthy: Over 0.5 goals at half time have been recorded in 18 of their last 20 home games, and they have led at the break in 8 of their last 11 home fixtures. These numbers underline their ability to start matches strongly and maintain pressure throughout. The team’s attacking unit has been consistent, finding the net in nearly every match and often scoring multiple times at home. Defensively, however, they have shown some vulnerability, conceding in 8 of their last 11 league games, which could open the door for Freiburg to exploit counterattacking opportunities.

SC Freiburg’s Recent Form and Key Stats

SC Freiburg approach this match in excellent form, having gone unbeaten in their last five matches, with four wins and one draw. Their most recent result was a 1-1 draw against VfB Stuttgart on April 23. Offensively, Freiburg have averaged 2.0 goals per game over this stretch, while maintaining a solid defensive record with only 0.6 goals conceded per match. Over the course of the season, they have registered 12 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses, scoring an average of 1.5 goals and conceding 1.6 per game.

Freiburg’s resilience has been particularly evident in the first half of matches. They have avoided defeat at half time in 22 of their last 24 games and have been leading at the break in their last three. Away from home, they tend to stay competitive, drawing at half time in 7 of their last 8 Bundesliga away fixtures. However, their defense has been tested on the road, conceding 28 goals away this season. Despite that, their attacking consistency and confidence make them a dangerous opponent, especially against teams that leave space behind the defense.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

The head-to-head record between these two sides heavily favors Borussia Dortmund. In their last five meetings, Dortmund have won four and drawn one, scoring an average of 3.2 goals per game while conceding just 0.8. The most recent encounter ended in a 1-1 draw on December 14, 2025, showing that Freiburg are capable of competing when well-organized. Historically, matches at Dortmund’s home ground have been high-scoring affairs, with Over 2.5 goals recorded in 12 of the last 14 meetings there.

From a tactical perspective, Dortmund’s attacking rhythm at home is expected to dictate the pace of the game. Their ability to score early and maintain offensive pressure could force Freiburg to defend deep and rely on quick transitions. Freiburg, on the other hand, have shown strong mental resilience and efficiency in front of goal, which could make them dangerous on the counterattack. Given both teams’ recent scoring trends and defensive vulnerabilities, another open and entertaining match seems likely.

Statistical Summary

• League position: Borussia Dortmund 2nd, SC Freiburg 7th.


• Last 5 matches: Dortmund – 3W, 0D, 2L; Freiburg – 4W, 1D, 0L.


• Average goals per match: Dortmund 2.0 scored, 1.0 conceded; Freiburg 1.5 scored, 1.6 conceded.


• Over 1.5 goals: in 22 of Dortmund’s last 23 Bundesliga matches.


• Over 0.5 goals at half time: in 18 of Dortmund’s last 20 home matches.


• Freiburg unbeaten at half time: in 22 of their last 24 matches.


• Head-to-head (last 5): Dortmund 4W, 1D, 0L; average 3.2 goals scored per game.

Dortmund vs Freiburg Prediction and Final Analysis

All indicators point toward a match filled with attacking opportunities and goals. Dortmund’s home form, combined with Freiburg’s recent scoring consistency, suggests that defenses may struggle to contain the offensive flow. The hosts will look to reassert their dominance after two consecutive defeats, while Freiburg aim to maintain their unbeaten streak and strengthen their European ambitions. Given the statistical trends — particularly the frequency of high-scoring games involving both teams — the most likely scenario is a match with multiple goals.

Based on the data and recent performances, the BetMines prediction for this Bundesliga fixture is Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 52%. Both teams have shown attacking intent and defensive fragility, making this outcome the most consistent with their current form and head-to-head history.