On Wednesday, June 25, Borussia Dortmund will play for a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup, facing Ulsan HD at the TQL Stadium in Cincinnati. Thanks to the four points collected so far, a draw will be enough for the German side to secure qualification as the second-placed team in Group F. A win, on the other hand, could earn them the top spot—but only if Fluminense (also on four points) fail to beat Mamelodi in the group’s other fixture. Should both sides win, goal difference (currently favoring the Brazilians) will determine final standings. Facing the bottom team in Group F, Dortmund are expected to play for the win, and there’s little reason to believe they’ll settle for a draw. After a frustrating 0-0 against Fluminense in their opener, Niko Kovac’s side found their spark on Matchday 2, overcoming Mamelodi in a thrilling 4-3 victory. That win allowed them to leapfrog the South Africans in the standings and take a big step toward the knockout stage. Meanwhile, Ulsan HD have already been eliminated from contention, having lost both of their matches. With zero points, the South Koreans will now look to salvage pride and give their fans something to cheer about before their Club World Cup journey comes to an end.

Borussia Dortmund Recent Form and Key Stats

The German side is enjoying a solid run, unbeaten in their last nine matches with seven wins—all of which saw Guirassy and his teammates score at least three goals—and two draws. A major factor behind their recent form, aside from a lethal attack, is their improving defense, which has kept three clean sheets in the last five matches, including the 0-0 draw with Fluminense.

Their most recent win came last Saturday in one of the most entertaining games of this year’s Club World Cup: a 4-3 thriller against South Africa’s Mamelodi. After falling behind in the 11th minute, Dortmund stormed back to take a commanding 4-1 lead by the 59th. However, a lapse in concentration saw them concede two more goals (62’ and 90’), making for a nervy finish for the Black and Yellows.

Ulsan HD Recent Form and Key Stats

A tough stretch for the South Koreans, who come into this match on the back of three straight defeats—the latest being a 4-2 loss to Fluminense on Matchday 2. Despite trailing 1-0 in the 27th minute, Ulsan HD managed to turn the match around, heading into halftime with a 2-1 lead. But they couldn’t hold off the Brazilian response in the second half, conceding three more goals after the 66th minute and bidding farewell to any hope of progressing.

What’s most worrying ahead of their clash with Borussia Dortmund is their defensive fragility, especially as highlighted in that second half against Fluminense. Ulsan HD have conceded at least one goal in each of their last six matches. Looking at their last five games, they’ve allowed an average of 2.2 goals per match—an ominous stat against a side as attacking as Dortmund.

Borussia Dortmund vs Ulsan HD Prediction and Tactical Overview

Borussia Dortmund have showcased their full attacking potential in recent weeks, scoring a total of 24 goals in their last eight matches across all competitions.

That comes as no surprise given the level of talent in their attacking ranks—Guirassy has already netted 35 goals this season, and he's supported by creative midfielders like Adeyemi, Brandt, and new signing Jobe Bellingham, who joined from Sunderland in early June for around €30 million.

While Dortmund’s attacking output has been impressive, Ulsan HD’s backline remains a major concern. The South Koreans have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last six outings and have not won any of their last four matches.

Taking these factors into account, the Borussia Dortmund vs Ulsan HD prediction suggests a high-scoring affair. Expect Over 2.5 goals—an outcome that has occurred in nine of Dortmund’s last ten matches under Niko Kovac.

• Borussia Dortmund vs Ulsan HD prediction from the BetMines algorithm predicts a match with Over 2.5 goals at 53%.
  
  
•  Borussia Dortmund vs Ulsan HD prediction from the BetMines Algorithm predicts a match with Under 2.5 goals at 47%.

Probable Lineups Borussia Dortmund vs Ulsan HD

BORUSSIA DORTMUND (3-4-2-1): Kobel; Sule, Anton, Bensebaini; Couto, Nmecha, Gross, Svensson; Bellingham, Brandt; Guirassy. Coach: Niko Kovac

ULSAN HD (3-5-2): Jo; Trojak, Kim, Jung; Kang, Ko, Bojanic, Lee, Ludwigson; Lacava, Farias. Coach: Pao-Gon Kim