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Borussia Mönchengladbach
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Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Prediction published on Feb 5, 2026 8:01 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Feb 5, 2026 8:01 PM
The Bundesliga weekend continues with an intriguing clash as Borussia Mönchengladbach host Bayer 04 Leverkusen on Saturday evening. The two sides met earlier this season in a 1-1 draw, but history clearly favors the visitors, who have gone twelve matches unbeaten against the Foals and have won each of their last seven visits to Mönchengladbach. With Leverkusen chasing the top positions and Gladbach fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone, this fixture promises intensity and contrasting motivations on both sides.
For Borussia Mönchengladbach, the season has been a difficult one. They currently sit 12th in the Bundesliga table, with a record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats. The team has averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, highlighting defensive fragility that has cost them valuable points. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-1 draw against Werder Bremen on January 31, extending their winless streak to four league games.
At home, Gladbach’s performances have been inconsistent. They have managed only two victories in ten home matches, conceding 20 goals in that stretch. In fact, Under 0.5 goals have been recorded in just three of their last ten home fixtures, showing that their matches tend to produce goals, but often not in their favor. The Foals’ defensive line has struggled to maintain stability, and with several players dealing with injuries, confidence appears low. Their head-to-head record against Leverkusen is also discouraging, with no wins in the last five meetings and an average of two goals conceded per game.
With relegation fears growing, the pressure is on the hosts to deliver a strong performance. However, facing one of their toughest opponents historically, the challenge could hardly be greater.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen enter this match in much better shape, sitting 6th in the Bundesliga standings. Their record of 11 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses reflects a team capable of competing at the top, though consistency remains an issue. The Werkself have not drawn any of their last 15 league matches, alternating between victories and defeats, especially away from home. They recently enjoyed a convincing 3-0 win over St. Pauli in the DFB-Pokal, a result that boosted morale and secured a place in the semifinals.
In their last five matches, Leverkusen have recorded four wins and one defeat, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game while conceding just 0.6. Their attacking efficiency has been impressive, but defensive lapses on the road remain a concern — they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last twelve away league matches. Nevertheless, they have also been quick starters, winning at half time in their last four games and seeing Over 0.5 goals at half time in 22 of their last 24 Bundesliga fixtures.
Leverkusen’s away form has been unpredictable, but their attacking rhythm and recent cup success suggest they are well-positioned to continue their dominance over Gladbach. The visitors’ confidence is high, and with the hosts struggling defensively, another strong performance could be on the cards.
This encounter brings together two teams with very different trajectories. Gladbach are battling inconsistency and defensive instability, while Leverkusen are pushing to close the gap to the top of the table. The visitors’ attacking form, combined with their historical superiority in this fixture, makes them clear favorites. The Foals’ home record — just two wins all season — further tilts the balance toward the Werkself.
Historically, this matchup has produced goals, and with both teams averaging over one goal per game, the likelihood of an open contest is high. However, Leverkusen’s sharper attack and Gladbach’s defensive issues suggest that the visitors are better equipped to take all three points. The psychological edge of seven consecutive away wins in this fixture cannot be ignored either.
Considering the statistical trends and recent performances, the most probable outcome points toward another Leverkusen victory. The visitors’ ability to score early and maintain control could prove decisive against a side struggling for confidence and defensive organization.
Gladbach vs Leverkusen prediction by BetMines:
Bayer 04 Leverkusen win (2) with 46% probability. The draw (X) stands at 25%, while a home win (1) is estimated at 29%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
5
5
6
4
4.5
8
2
7
3