Tools
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 - 0
FT
Borussia Dortmund
Prediction published on May 1, 2026 4:02 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on May 1, 2026 4:02 PM
The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Borussia Mönchengladbach and Borussia Dortmund promises to be an exciting encounter between two sides with very different objectives. While the hosts are looking to secure their top-flight status, the visitors aim to confirm their position as runners-up. The match, scheduled for May 3, is expected to deliver goals and drama, with both teams showing tendencies that point toward an open contest.
Borussia Mönchengladbach have struggled for consistency in recent weeks. With only 2 wins in their last 15 matches, the team’s form has been far from convincing. However, their home performances have been slightly more stable, losing just one home game since mid-December. In their most recent outing, they drew 0-0 against VfL Wolfsburg on April 25, showing defensive improvement but lacking attacking sharpness.
Across their last five matches, Mönchengladbach have recorded 0 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Over the course of the Bundesliga season, their record stands at 7 wins, 11 draws, and 13 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. These numbers underline a team that often competes but rarely dominates.
Interestingly, only 3 of their last 15 home matches have featured under 0.5 total goals, suggesting that their games at Borussia-Park tend to produce at least some scoring action. Despite their mid-table position, the hosts have shown resilience and will look to capitalize on home advantage against a high-flying opponent.
Borussia Dortmund come into this fixture in strong form after a commanding 4-0 victory over SC Freiburg on April 26. That result helped them bounce back from two earlier defeats and move closer to securing second place in the Bundesliga standings. Their overall record this season is impressive: 20 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, with an average of 2.1 goals scored and just 1.0 conceded per game.
In their last five matches, Dortmund have achieved 3 wins and 2 defeats, maintaining a strong attacking rhythm with 2.0 goals per match. Their offensive consistency is remarkable — they have scored at least one goal in 27 of their last 28 Bundesliga matches and in 13 consecutive away games. Moreover, over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 13 away fixtures, and they have found the net in both halves in most of those encounters.
These statistics highlight Dortmund’s attacking reliability, especially on the road. Their ability to score consistently makes them a dangerous opponent for any team, and their recent performances suggest they will approach this match with confidence and ambition.
The recent head-to-head record between these two sides heavily favors Borussia Dortmund. In the last five meetings, Dortmund have won four times, with one draw and no defeats for Mönchengladbach. The most recent encounter ended 2-0 in favor of Dortmund on December 19, 2025. Across those matches, Mönchengladbach have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded, showing the visitors’ dominance in this fixture.
From a tactical perspective, Mönchengladbach will likely focus on compact defending and quick transitions, hoping to exploit any gaps left by Dortmund’s attacking approach. The visitors, on the other hand, will rely on their offensive depth and rhythm to control the game. Given both teams’ recent trends, the probability of goals on both sides appears high.
Statistically, the BTTS (Both Teams To Score) rate stands at 67% for Mönchengladbach’s last six matches and 83% for Dortmund’s recent away games. This alignment strongly supports the expectation of an open, attacking contest where both sides find the net.
With Borussia Dortmund pushing to secure the runner-up spot and Borussia Mönchengladbach fighting to confirm their Bundesliga safety, both teams have plenty at stake. The hosts will aim to frustrate their opponents with disciplined defending, while the visitors’ attacking firepower could prove decisive. Given the statistical trends and recent performances, this fixture is shaping up to be a lively affair with multiple scoring opportunities.
In terms of probabilities, the win chances are distributed as follows: Mönchengladbach 33%, Draw 25%, and Dortmund 42%. The likelihood of Over 2.5 goals stands at 54%, while Both Teams To Score – Yes is estimated at 56%. These figures reinforce the expectation of an entertaining match with goals at both ends.
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund prediction by BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Dortmund
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
5
5
6
4
4.5
8
2
7
3