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Prediction published on Nov 26, 2025 9:04 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Nov 26, 2025 9:04 PM
The Bundesliga’s twelfth matchday opens with an intriguing clash between Borussia Mönchengladbach and RB Leipzig at Borussia-Park. The hosts have rediscovered their rhythm after a difficult start, while the visitors continue to chase league leaders Bayern Munich. With Leipzig currently sitting second in the table and six points behind the top, this Friday night fixture promises intensity and tactical discipline. Both teams enter the match well-rested, having had no midweek European commitments, and recent meetings suggest a tight contest — none of the last four head-to-heads have produced more than 2.5 goals.
After a disastrous opening to the season that included five defeats and three draws, Gladbach have turned things around impressively. Their resurgence began with a 4-0 away win at St. Pauli, followed by a 3-1 derby triumph over Köln and a dominant 3-0 victory against Heidenheim. These results have lifted morale and confidence in Gerardo Seoane’s squad. Over their last five matches, the Foals have recorded four wins and one defeat, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. In the Bundesliga, they now hold a record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match.
One of the most notable aspects of their recent form is their ability to start strong — Gladbach have led at half-time in their last four matches, including the last three in the Bundesliga. Their attacking revival has been spearheaded by Haris Tabakovic, who has netted seven league goals so far, including four in his last three appearances. Supporting him are Kevin Diks and Shuto Machino, each contributing two goals. Defensively, the team has also improved, conceding just once in their last three outings. However, a word of caution remains: three of their last four home meetings with Leipzig have ended in defeat, showing that Borussia-Park has not always been a fortress against this opponent.
Another interesting trend is the consistency of second-half action — over 0.5 goals have been scored in 33 of their last 36 matches, and in 22 of their last 24 Bundesliga fixtures. This suggests that Gladbach’s matches often open up after the break, even when the first half remains balanced.
RB Leipzig continue to show why they are among the Bundesliga’s elite. Since their heavy 0-6 defeat to Bayern Munich on the opening day, the Saxony side have responded with eight wins in ten matches, climbing to second place in the standings. Their latest outing saw them beat Werder Bremen 2-0, maintaining their strong momentum. Over their last five games, Leipzig have also posted four wins and one loss, scoring an average of 3.2 goals while conceding just 1.0. Their season record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.
Despite their impressive overall form, Leipzig’s away performances have been less consistent. They have won three of their last six away fixtures, including notable victories at Mainz (1-0), Dortmund (1-0), and Augsburg (6-0), but also suffered a 1-3 defeat at Hoffenheim after leading early. Interestingly, Leipzig have scored in the first half of every away match this season except the 0-6 loss to Bayern. Their attacking play remains dynamic, but defensive lapses on the road have occasionally cost them points.
Personnel issues could play a significant role in this fixture. Assan Ouedraogo is sidelined with a serious injury, while promising youngsters Yan Diomande and El Chadaille Bitshiabu are also unavailable. Romulo continues to struggle with knee problems, and Kevin Kampl has been absent following a personal tragedy. These absences mean that three of Leipzig’s top four scorers are currently out, potentially limiting their attacking options. Nevertheless, the team’s structure under Marco Rose remains solid, and their ability to dominate possession and create chances from wide areas continues to be a strength.
Leipzig’s matches also tend to produce plenty of set-piece action — over 7.5 corners have been taken in 32 of their last 34 games, a testament to their attacking intensity. Moreover, they have led at half-time in seven of their last ten matches, showing their tendency to start aggressively.
This encounter brings together two sides in excellent form but with contrasting strengths. Gladbach are riding a wave of confidence after three consecutive wins, while Leipzig remain one of the most consistent teams in Germany despite their injury concerns. The Foals’ recent attacking surge, led by Tabakovic, will test a Leipzig defense that has occasionally looked vulnerable away from home. On the other hand, Leipzig’s pace and pressing could expose Gladbach’s backline if they push too high.
Historically, this fixture has been tight and low-scoring. The last four meetings have all finished with under 2.5 goals, and both teams have shown improved defensive organization in recent weeks. Given Leipzig’s absentees and Gladbach’s solid home form, a cautious and tactical battle seems likely. The hosts will aim to maintain their first-half dominance, while Leipzig will rely on their structured transitions and set-piece strength to find openings.
With both teams well-rested and motivated, the match could hinge on small details — an early goal, a defensive lapse, or a moment of brilliance from Tabakovic or Dani Olmo. However, considering the context, a high-scoring affair appears unlikely, and a balanced contest is expected at Borussia-Park.
BetMines Prediction: RB Leipzig win (2) with 47% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Borussia Mönchengladbach
RB Leipzig
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
2
8
3.5
5
5
6
4
4.5
8
2
8
2