Borussia Mönchengladbach are enduring a nightmare start to the Bundesliga campaign, and on Sunday, October 5, they will try to turn things around when they host SC Freiburg at Borussia-Park. Kick-off is scheduled for 19:30. The Foals are still searching for their first win of the season, but history is not on their side: they have failed to beat Freiburg in their last eight encounters, losing the most recent three. With defensive frailties exposed and confidence at a low point, Gladbach face a daunting challenge against a Freiburg side that has found stability after a shaky start.

Borussia Mönchengladbach’s Recent Form and Key Stats

It has been a disastrous opening for Gladbach. They sit bottom of the Bundesliga table in 18th place, with a record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats. Their most recent outing was a chaotic 4-6 loss to Eintracht Frankfurt on September 27, a match that highlighted both their attacking flashes and defensive collapse. Across their last five matches, they have failed to win, recording two draws and three defeats, while averaging just 1.0 goal scored and conceding 2.4 goals per game.

One of the most worrying aspects is their inability to start games strongly. Gladbach remain the only Bundesliga side yet to score in the first half this season. Defensively, they have shipped 11 goals in their last three games, and their backline looks vulnerable against teams with attacking momentum. Historically, Freiburg have been a difficult opponent, and the Foals’ recent head-to-head record confirms this: 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats in their last five meetings, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 2.2 conceded.

Despite their struggles, Gladbach have shown a consistent trend in goal-heavy matches. Over 0.5 goals have been scored in 29 of their last 30 games, and the second half in particular tends to open up, with goals in 27 of their last 29 matches. This suggests that while they are fragile, their games rarely lack action.

SC Freiburg’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Freiburg arrive in much better shape, sitting 8th in the Bundesliga standings. After a difficult start with defeats to Augsburg (1-3) and Köln (1-4), they have bounced back impressively. They defeated Stuttgart 3-1 and Werder Bremen 3-0, before drawing 1-1 with Hoffenheim. On Thursday, they extended their unbeaten run with another 1-1 draw against Bologna in the Europa League.

In their last five matches across all competitions, Freiburg remain unbeaten with 3 wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.0 goals scored and conceding only 0.8 per game. They have also scored in each of their last 17 matches overall, and in their last 14 Bundesliga games. Furthermore, at least two goals have been scored in each of their last 11 matches, underlining their attacking consistency. However, one recurring issue is their tendency to concede early: in four of their last five Bundesliga matches, they have allowed a first-half goal.

Personnel-wise, Freiburg may be boosted by the potential return of Lukas Kübler, which would add depth to their defensive options. Despite some defensive lapses, their attacking form and resilience make them a dangerous opponent for a struggling Gladbach side.

Gladbach vs Freiburg Prediction and Tactical Overview

This clash pits a desperate home side against a confident visitor. Gladbach are under immense pressure to deliver their first win, but their defensive instability and poor head-to-head record against Freiburg suggest another difficult evening. The Foals have conceded heavily in recent weeks, and their inability to score in the first half could once again leave them chasing the game.

Freiburg, on the other hand, are unbeaten in their last five matches and have scored in every game this season. Their attacking momentum, combined with Gladbach’s defensive woes, makes them strong candidates to extend their dominance in this fixture. The head-to-head record also favors Freiburg, who won the last meeting 2-1 in April 2025.

Given the trends, this match is likely to feature goals, particularly in the second half. Both teams have shown a tendency to concede, but Freiburg’s superior form and consistency in front of goal give them the edge. The prediction leans towards another Freiburg victory, which would mark their fourth consecutive win over Gladbach.

Gladbach vs Freiburg prediction from BetMines: Away Win (2) with 46% probability.