Tools
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2 - 0
FT
St. Pauli
Prediction published on Mar 11, 2026 9:01 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Mar 11, 2026 9:01 PM
The relegation battle in the Bundesliga intensifies as Borussia Mönchengladbach and St. Pauli open Matchday 26 on Friday, March 13. Both sides are fully aware of the stakes: the hosts sit 12th in the table, but only one point above the relegation playoff spot currently occupied by the visitors. The first meeting between these two ended in a convincing 4-0 win for Gladbach, though St. Pauli later knocked them out of the cup with a 2-1 victory. This time, the pressure is even higher, with both teams desperate for points to avoid being dragged deeper into the danger zone.
Borussia Mönchengladbach enter this fixture struggling for consistency, having won just one of their last nine league matches. Their most recent outing ended in a heavy 4-1 defeat against FC Bayern München on March 6, underlining their defensive vulnerabilities. Over their last five games, they have recorded one win, one draw, and three losses, averaging only 0.8 goals scored and conceding 2.0 per match. In the Bundesliga this season, their record stands at six wins, seven draws, and twelve defeats, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Despite their poor overall form, Gladbach have shown some resilience at home. They have lost only two of their last nine home matches and managed to keep five clean sheets at their own ground. However, defensive lapses remain a concern, as they have still conceded 21 goals at home this season. Low-scoring encounters have been common at Borussia-Park, with Under 0.5 total goals recorded in three of their last twelve home fixtures. The team’s attacking struggles have been evident for months, and turning their home advantage into points will be crucial if they are to avoid slipping closer to the relegation zone.
St. Pauli arrive in Mönchengladbach with renewed confidence after a solid run of results. They are unbeaten in their last three league matches, including a goalless draw against Eintracht Frankfurt on March 8. During this period, they have conceded just one goal, showing significant improvement in their defensive organization. Over their last five games, the Hamburg side have collected three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their overall Bundesliga record this season stands at six wins, six draws, and thirteen losses, with averages of 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
While their recent form is encouraging, St. Pauli’s away record remains a concern. They have suffered nine defeats in thirteen away matches this season, highlighting their inconsistency on the road. However, their latest away performance—a 1-0 win at Hoffenheim—suggests they may be turning a corner. If they can avoid defeat in Mönchengladbach, it would mark the first time this season that they have taken points from two consecutive away fixtures. Low-scoring games have also been a trend for St. Pauli, with Under 0.5 total goals recorded in three of their last eleven Bundesliga matches.
Historically, Borussia Mönchengladbach have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning three of the last five meetings, drawing one, and losing one. They have averaged 2.4 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded in those encounters. The most recent clash, however, ended in a 2-1 win for St. Pauli on December 2, 2025, proving that the visitors are capable of upsetting the odds. Given both teams’ current form and their struggles in front of goal, this match is expected to be tight and tactical rather than open and high-scoring.
Gladbach’s home advantage could play a role, but their lack of attacking efficiency may prevent them from taking full control. St. Pauli’s recent defensive solidity could frustrate the hosts, especially if they maintain the compact structure that earned them clean sheets against Frankfurt and Hoffenheim. Both sides are likely to prioritize avoiding mistakes over taking risks, making a low-scoring draw or narrow win the most plausible outcome.
Considering the recent performances and statistical trends, the BetMines prediction for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs St. Pauli points towards Under 2.5 goals. Both teams have shown limited attacking output in recent weeks, and their defensive improvements suggest a cautious approach. The probability for this outcome stands at 50%, reflecting the expectation of a tight and low-scoring contest.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Borussia Mönchengladbach
St. Pauli
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
5
5
9
1
4.5
8
2
9
1