Bosnia and Herzegovina host Sweden in the UEFA Nations League on October 2, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:45 local time at Stadion Bilino Polje in Zenica. The hosts have taken four points from their opening two matches in League B, while Sweden arrive with two wins from two and sit above them in the competition rankings. Both sides recorded victories on September 28: Bosnia and Herzegovina beat Romania 4-2, and Sweden defeated Poland 3-1. Those results set up an intriguing meeting between teams that have started the campaign with confidence in front of goal.

Bosnia and Herzegovina's Recent Form and Key Stats

Bosnia and Herzegovina have responded well to relegation from League A. They began this Nations League campaign with a goalless draw against Poland before scoring four times against Romania. Esmir Bajraktarevic provided two assists in the 4-2 win, a result that lifted the hosts to one win and one draw from their first two matches. Across those fixtures, they have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.

Their wider results offer a more mixed picture. Bosnia and Herzegovina have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five matches, scoring 1.6 goals and conceding 1.8 per game on average. They have nevertheless lost only two of their last 14 matches in all competitions and are unbeaten in their last three at home, a run that includes a win over Italy in the World Cup qualification playoffs. That home record gives them a reason for optimism, even against opponents who have made a perfect start to this Nations League campaign.

There is also an interesting contrast in Bosnia and Herzegovina's home statistics. Their last 11 home matches have all featured at least one second-half goal, but they have trailed at half-time in each of their last three home Nations League games. More broadly, they have been behind at the break in six of their last 10 matches in this competition. After the goalless opener against Poland and the six-goal match against Romania, the hosts have shown that their first two fixtures can follow very different scoring patterns.

Sweden's Recent Form and Key Stats

Sweden have carried momentum from their promotion to League B into the opening rounds. A 2-1 win over Romania was followed by a 3-1 victory against Poland, leaving them with six points from a possible six. They have averaged 2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across those two Nations League matches. Viktor Gyokeres has scored in both games, giving Sweden a consistent source of goals at the start of the campaign.

The visitors' longer-term away results are less convincing than their current Nations League record. Sweden have won only one of their last five away games, drawing one and losing three. They conceded at least twice in four of those five fixtures. Their last five matches overall have brought two wins, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Those figures suggest that a strong start to this campaign has not erased the difficulties they have faced on their travels.

Goals have been a recurring feature of Sweden's recent fixtures. Their last 18 away matches have each contained more than 1.5 total goals, as have their last 12 matches at any venue and their last 11 in the Nations League. Sweden have also conceded at least once in each of their last 16 matches. In their Nations League games specifically, 19 of the last 20 have featured a first-half goal. Those trends add weight to the prospect of an eventful contest, though they do not settle which side will come out ahead.

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Sweden Match Analysis

The early League B standings give this fixture added significance: Sweden are ranked first and Bosnia and Herzegovina second. The hosts have already shown they can turn a tight opening result into a convincing attacking display, while Sweden have scored in both of their wins. Bosnia and Herzegovina's recent home unbeaten run is a counterpoint to Sweden's limited success across their last five away games.

Sweden's scoring form makes the visitors a threat, particularly with Gyokeres having found the net in each of their opening two matches. At the other end, their run of 16 consecutive games conceding a goal gives Bosnia and Herzegovina grounds to believe they can score at home. The teams' most recent head-to-head meeting was a 4-2 Sweden win on May 29, 2010, but that older result offers less insight into this fixture than their current Nations League performances and recent goals records.

There are reasons to be cautious about picking a winner. Sweden hold the stronger start in the competition, yet Bosnia and Herzegovina have home advantage and have lost only twice in their last 14 matches across all competitions. With both sides scoring multiple goals in their September 28 victories, and Sweden's recent away fixtures repeatedly producing goals, the strongest theme in this match preview is the potential for chances at both ends.

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Sweden prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 56% probability.