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Prediction published on Nov 22, 2025 9:02 AM by Dario in Brazil - Serie B | Modified on Nov 22, 2025 9:02 AM
The upcoming clash between Botafogo-SP and Avaí in the Brasileirão Série B promises to be a fascinating encounter between two sides with contrasting recent form. Scheduled for November 23, 2025, this match could have significant implications for both teams as the season nears its conclusion. Botafogo-SP are still fighting to secure safety in the lower half of the table, while Avaí continue their push for a top-half finish after a strong run of results. The two teams met earlier this season in a one-sided affair that ended 5-0 in favor of Avaí, a result that Botafogo-SP will be eager to avenge in front of their home fans.
Botafogo-SP enter this fixture sitting in 16th place in the Série B standings, with a record of 10 wins, 11 draws, and 16 defeats. Their recent form has been mixed, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches. The most recent setback came in a 2-0 defeat to Criciúma on November 16, a result that highlighted their ongoing issues in front of goal. The team averages just 0.9 goals scored per match while conceding 1.4, a ratio that has kept them hovering dangerously close to the relegation zone.
One of the most concerning trends for Botafogo-SP has been their inability to start games strongly — they have not led at halftime in any of their last 28 Série B matches. However, their second halves tend to be more eventful, with over 0.5 goals scored after the break in 20 of their last 21 league games. This pattern suggests that the team often grows into matches but struggles to maintain control early on. At home, Botafogo-SP have shown flashes of resilience, with only 3 of their last 13 home fixtures ending with fewer than one goal scored in total. Still, their lack of cutting edge in attack remains a major obstacle to securing consistent results.
Avaí arrive in Ribeirão Preto full of confidence after a convincing 3-1 victory over Remo on November 15. That result extended their unbeaten streak to five matches, during which they have recorded 3 wins and 2 draws. The team’s attacking form has been particularly impressive, averaging 2.0 goals scored per game while conceding just 1.2 over that period. Their overall season record of 14 wins, 13 draws, and 10 losses places them in 9th position, comfortably in the top half and still within reach of the promotion contenders.
Under their current momentum, Avaí have shown a balanced approach between solid defense and clinical finishing. Their attacking efficiency was on full display in the previous head-to-head meeting with Botafogo-SP, which ended in a dominant 5-0 win. Historically, Avaí have enjoyed this matchup, remaining unbeaten in their last five encounters against Botafogo-SP, with 3 wins and 2 draws. They have also averaged 2.2 goals scored per game in those meetings while conceding only 0.6. This strong record will give them confidence heading into the return fixture, even though playing away from home always presents new challenges.
This fixture brings together two teams with very different trajectories. Botafogo-SP are desperate to halt their inconsistent run and secure points to avoid being dragged further into the relegation battle. Their defensive organization will be crucial, especially against an Avaí side that has been prolific in front of goal in recent weeks. The hosts will need to find a way to contain Avaí’s attacking threats while improving their own efficiency in the final third.
For Avaí, maintaining their current rhythm could be key to finishing the season strongly. Their recent performances suggest a team that has found balance between attack and defense, and their ability to score multiple goals per game could once again make the difference. However, they will be aware that Botafogo-SP tend to perform better at home and often make life difficult for visiting teams, particularly in the second half of matches when their intensity increases.
Given the statistical trends, this match could be tighter than the previous meeting between the two sides. Botafogo-SP’s home advantage and Avaí’s attacking form set the stage for a competitive contest, where small details — such as set pieces or defensive lapses — could decide the outcome. Fans can expect a match that may start cautiously but open up as it progresses, especially after halftime when both teams typically become more aggressive.
The most likely outcome is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% probability. Both teams have shown defensive discipline in several recent matches, and despite Avaí’s attacking form, the overall balance suggests a game with limited scoring opportunities.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Botafogo SP
Avaí
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
1
9
2.5
7
3
4
6
3.5
10
0
8
2
4.5
10
0
9
1