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Botafogo
11:30 PM
September 12, 2026
Bragantino
Prediction published on Sep 10, 2026 11:33 PM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on Sep 10, 2026 11:33 PM
Botafogo host Bragantino on September 12, 2026, at 23:30 local time in a Serie A fixture at Estádio Nilton Santos in Rio de Janeiro. Both teams enter the contest under pressure after inconsistent recent results. Botafogo are 14th in the competition, while Bragantino sit ninth, but neither side has built convincing momentum over the past five matches. The hosts have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats during that period, whereas the visitors have collected one victory, two draws and two losses. Their defensive numbers also suggest that opportunities could emerge at both ends. Botafogo have conceded an average of 1.4 goals across their latest five games, while Bragantino have allowed 1.6 per match over the same sequence. With points needed by both teams, this Serie A meeting offers an important chance to reverse their current trajectories.
Botafogo come into the match after a 0-0 draw against Palmeiras on September 6. That clean sheet provided some defensive encouragement, although their broader five-match record remains difficult: one victory, one draw and three defeats, with an average of only 0.6 goals scored per game. At the other end, they have conceded 1.4 goals per match during that run.
Their Serie A season record stands at eight wins, seven draws and ten defeats. Across the campaign, Botafogo have averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, figures that reflect how closely balanced many of their matches can become. The hosts also have a notable first-half trend behind them, as at least one goal has been scored before the interval in 18 of their last 20 matches. In addition, they have been ahead at half-time in seven of their previous ten home fixtures.
Only two of Botafogo's last ten Serie A home games have finished with under 0.5 total goals, and the same is true of their last ten league matches overall. These numbers indicate that the goalless draw with Palmeiras was not the most common outcome in their recent schedule. Botafogo will nevertheless need more attacking efficiency than they have shown across their latest five appearances.
The hosts must make changes in attack because Arthur Cabral is suspended after receiving his third yellow card against Palmeiras. His absence is significant, as he and Danilo Santos are Botafogo's leading Serie A scorers with seven goals each. Alex Telles, Jordan Barrera, Pantaleão and Paulinho are also listed among the unavailable players. Botafogo have announced eight reinforcements, with Ziyech identified as the most recent arrival.
Bragantino travel after a 3-2 defeat against Bahia on September 5. It was their second successive loss following an away defeat to São Paulo. Across their latest five matches, the visitors have one win, two draws and two defeats, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding 1.6 per game.
Their full Serie A record is ten victories, five draws and ten losses. Bragantino average 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in the competition, giving them slightly stronger season-long defensive figures than Botafogo. Their recent attack also offers encouragement: despite the limited number of wins, the visitors have found the net in five consecutive matches.
Bragantino's away fixtures have generally remained below an extreme scoring level, with under 3.5 total goals in each of their last 11 Serie A away matches. However, their games regularly produce action after the interval. At least one second-half goal has been scored in 19 of their previous 21 matches. The visitors have also avoided being behind at half-time in 19 of their last 21 games, creating an intriguing contrast with Botafogo's strong record of leading at the break at home.
There are several selection concerns for coach Vagner Mancini. Rodriguinho is considered doubtful after remaining out of training, while Eduardo Sasha, Vanderlan and Davi Gomes are confirmed injury absences. Alix Viníncius is unavailable through suspension after accumulating yellow cards.
Botafogo: Gabriel Batista; Vitinho, Ferraresi, Monzón, Marçal; Villalba, Danilo Santos, Huguinho, Montoro; Danilo Pereira, Tiquinho. Coach: Rodrigo Bellão.
Bragantino: Volpi; Agustin Sant’Anna, Guzmán Rodríguez, Gustavo Marques, Juninho Capixaba; Fabinho, Eric Ramires, Lucas Barbosa; Wallace Yan, Fernando (Herrera), Isidro Pitta. Coach: Vagner Mancini.
The available numbers point to a competitive contest rather than a clear mismatch. Botafogo carry a 44% win probability, compared with 30% for Bragantino and 26% for the draw. The hosts also hold the stronger recent head-to-head record, with four wins and one defeat across the summarized meetings, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded.
The latest direct encounter took place on March 21, 2026, when Botafogo won 2-1 away from home. Another game with chances for both sides is plausible because Bragantino have scored in five successive fixtures, while Botafogo's season matches average 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The both-teams-to-score assessment is 55% for Yes, compared with 45% for No. The over 2.5-goal probability is more finely balanced at 51%, with the under rated at 49%.
The timing of the goals may be particularly important. Botafogo's record of a first-half goal in 18 of their last 20 matches provides the clearest recurring trend, but Bragantino's ability to avoid trailing at the interval means the hosts cannot rely on controlling the opening period. If the first half remains balanced, the visitors' sequence of second-half goals in 19 of 21 matches suggests that the contest should continue to offer attacking moments after the break.
Botafogo vs Bragantino prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 71% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Botafogo
Bragantino
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
2
8
1.5
5
5
5
5
2.5
6
4
7
3
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1