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Botafogo vs Santos Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Serie A 16-07-2026

Botafogo

2 - 1

FT

Santos

Estádio Nilton Santos
Rodrigo José Pereira de Lima
sky is clear °C

Prediction published on Jul 15, 2026 1:04 AM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on Jul 15, 2026 1:04 AM

The Brazilian Serie A resumes this week after the World Cup break, and one of the most intriguing fixtures of the 19th round will see Botafogo host Santos in Rio de Janeiro. This clash marks the end of the first half of the season and brings together two sides fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone. Both teams have shown inconsistency in recent weeks, and with fragile defenses, the expectation is for a lively encounter with goals at both ends.


Botafogo’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Botafogo return to league action sitting 12th in the Serie A standings with 22 points, just two above the relegation line. Before the break, the team struggled to find consistency, losing 2-1 to Bahia and drawing 1-1 with São Paulo in their last two matches. Despite these setbacks, the side has shown attacking potential throughout the season, averaging 1.8 goals scored per match and conceding the same amount.


In their last five games, Botafogo recorded three wins, one draw, and one defeat, scoring an average of 2.2 goals while conceding 1.0. However, defensive issues remain a concern: the team has conceded at least one goal in each of their last 16 Serie A matches. The attacking line has been more reliable, finding the net in 20 of their last 21 matches across all competitions.


At home, Botafogo’s matches have been particularly entertaining. There have been goals in both halves in most of their recent fixtures, with over 0.5 goals in the second half recorded in 21 of their last 22 games. The team has also won at half time in six of their last ten matches, showing a tendency to start strong in front of their fans.



  • Over 1.5 goals in the last 14 Serie A matches.

  • Both teams scored in the last 13 Serie A matches.

  • Over 0.5 goals at half time in the last 10 matches.

  • Over 0.5 goals in the second half in the last 10 home matches.


Despite a poor run in the Copa do Brasil, where they were eliminated by Chapecoense, Botafogo impressed in the Copa Sudamericana, advancing unbeaten through the group stage. The question now is whether they can translate that continental form into domestic stability.


Santos’ Recent Form and Key Stats


Santos arrive in Rio occupying 15th place, just one point behind their hosts. The team’s last outing before the break was a morale-boosting 3-1 home win over Vitória, ending a two-match losing streak. That victory allowed them to climb out of the relegation zone, but the overall campaign remains inconsistent, with five wins, six draws, and seven defeats so far.


In their last five matches, Santos have picked up two wins, one draw, and two losses, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Their attacking play has been lively, but defensive lapses have cost them points. The team has seen over 1.5 goals in each of their last 11 matches, and they have avoided defeat at half time in 20 of their last 21 games, showing resilience in the early stages of matches.



  • Over 0.5 goals at half time in the last 11 matches.

  • Over 1.5 goals in the last 11 matches.

  • Haven’t lost at half time in 19 of their last 21 Serie A matches.

  • Won at half time in 8 of their last 11 matches.


Like Botafogo, Santos must balance their domestic campaign with commitments in the Copa do Brasil and Copa Sudamericana. The squad has shown flashes of attacking brilliance but continues to struggle for consistency. Their recent head-to-head record against Botafogo is balanced, with two wins and three draws in the last five meetings, including a 2-2 draw in their most recent encounter.


Botafogo vs Santos Tactical Overview and Prediction


Both teams enter this fixture with similar profiles: strong in attack but vulnerable in defense. Botafogo’s home matches have been particularly open, with both teams scoring in each of their last 13 Serie A games. Santos, meanwhile, have also been involved in high-scoring contests, with over 1.5 goals in their last 11 matches. Given these trends, the match is expected to produce goals on both sides.


Historically, this fixture has delivered entertainment, and with both teams eager to move away from the bottom half of the table, an attacking approach seems inevitable. Botafogo’s home advantage could play a role, but Santos’ recent improvement in front of goal suggests they will not go down easily. The balance of probabilities points toward a competitive and goal-filled encounter.


Botafogo vs Santos prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 50% probability.

Botafogo vs Santos - Predictions

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Botafogo vs Santos: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Botafogo

Santos

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

2.5

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

100%

10

0%

0

80%

8

20%

2

BetMines

Standings of Botafogo and Santos in Serie A

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

10

Botafogo

18

7

4

7

33:32

25

1.39

D
W
D
L
W
15

Santos

19

5

6

8

27:31

21

1.11

W
L
L
W
L
CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores Qualifiers
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Relegation

Who will win ?

Botafogo vs Santos: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Botafogo vs Santos be played?
The Serie A match between Botafogo and Santos will be played on July 16, 2026 at 22:30.
Where will Botafogo vs Santos be played?
The match between Botafogo and Santos will be played at Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro - Brazil
Who will referee Botafogo vs Santos?
The referee for the match will be Rodrigo José Pereira de Lima.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Botafogo vs Santos in the Serie A?
The odds are: Botafogo to win 2.15, draw 3.50, Santos to win 3.25.
What are the betting odds for Botafogo vs Santos for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Serie A?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.90 and Under 2.5 at 1.90.
Will both Botafogo and Santos score in the Serie A?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.70, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.05.
What is the most likely correct score for Botafogo vs Santos in the Serie A?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Botafogo and Santos?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Botafogo and Santos, Botafogo won 2 times, Santos won 0, and 3 ended in a draw.

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