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Prediction published on Feb 18, 2026 8:05 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Feb 18, 2026 8:05 PM
The upcoming Ligue 2 fixture between US Boulogne and Clermont Foot promises to be a crucial battle in the fight to avoid relegation. Scheduled for Friday evening, this match at the Stade de la Libération could have a significant impact on both teams’ survival hopes. Boulogne, who were promoted late following another club’s administrative relegation, have exceeded expectations so far. Meanwhile, Clermont are struggling to find form and desperately need a result to stop their alarming slide down the table.
US Boulogne have been one of the pleasant surprises of the season. Despite being newcomers to Ligue 2, they currently sit in 13th place with a record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats. Their recent form has been encouraging, with 3 victories, 1 draw, and just 1 loss in their last five matches. The most recent success came away at Pau, where they secured a 1-2 win on February 13, 2026. This result gave them a four-point cushion above the relegation zone and boosted confidence within the squad.
Offensively, Boulogne average 1.1 goals per game while conceding 1.5, showing a balanced but slightly fragile defensive line. However, they have shown resilience and attacking intent, especially in the second halves of matches. In fact, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 19 of their last 21 games, and in 18 of their last 20 Ligue 2 fixtures. This trend highlights their ability to stay competitive and find breakthroughs after the break. Still, they have occasionally struggled at home early on, losing at half time in 6 of their last 10 home matches.
With momentum on their side and a growing sense of belief, Boulogne will aim to capitalize on Clermont’s poor run and extend their unbeaten streak. A win here could move them further away from the danger zone and solidify their mid-table position.
For Clermont Foot, the situation is far less optimistic. The team has endured a nightmare run, losing each of their last five Ligue 2 matches. Their most recent defeat came against Rodez (1-2) on February 13, 2026, a result that left them in 15th place — level on points with the first relegation spot. Over the course of the season, Clermont have recorded 5 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Defensively, Clermont’s issues are glaring. They have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 13 matches, including the last 12 in Ligue 2. This lack of solidity at the back has been their undoing, especially away from home, where they have already lost 7 of their 12 league trips. Their attack has not been able to compensate, with an average of just one goal per game in their last five outings. The team’s confidence appears low, and unless they can rediscover their rhythm quickly, their battle for survival could become even more complicated.
Historically, Clermont have been evenly matched with Boulogne. In their last five head-to-head meetings, each side has won once, with three draws. The most recent encounter ended 1-1 on December 5, 2025, suggesting another tight contest could be on the cards.
This clash between Boulogne and Clermont is shaping up to be a tense and hard-fought affair. Both teams are desperate for points, but their trajectories could not be more different. Boulogne’s recent performances have shown consistency and determination, while Clermont’s confidence has been eroded by a string of defeats. The home side’s ability to score late and maintain intensity in the second half could prove decisive against a Clermont defense that has been leaking goals regularly.
From a statistical perspective, both teams tend to find the net, with a 56% probability of Both Teams To Score – Yes. The Over 2.5 goals market is finely balanced at 51%, suggesting that while goals are likely, the match could still be closely contested. Boulogne’s home advantage and current momentum might give them the edge, but Clermont’s urgency to end their losing streak could make them dangerous opponents.
Given the narrow gap between the sides — Boulogne with a 38% win probability and Clermont close behind at 36% — this fixture could hinge on small details. However, Boulogne’s stronger form and confidence make them slight favorites to claim all three points.
BetMines Prediction for US Boulogne vs Clermont Foot:
The prediction points towards a US Boulogne win (1) with a 38% probability. A Draw (X) stands at 27%, while a Clermont win (2) is estimated at 36%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Boulogne
Clermont
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
4
6
1
9
1.5
6
4
4
6
2.5
7
3
5
5
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
8
2
10
0