Tools
Prediction published on Feb 4, 2026 8:05 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Feb 4, 2026 8:05 PM
The upcoming Ligue 2 fixture between US Boulogne and Rodez AF promises to be an intriguing battle between two sides separated by just two places in the standings. Scheduled for Friday evening, this match at the Stade de la Libération will see Boulogne aiming to extend their recent positive run, while Rodez look to rediscover their winning touch after a series of draws. Both teams have shown resilience in recent weeks, but their contrasting momentum could play a decisive role in shaping the outcome of this encounter.
US Boulogne have been one of the pleasant surprises of the last few rounds in Ligue 2. After a challenging start to the campaign, the team has found stability and confidence, collecting seven points from their last three matches. Their most recent success came with a hard-fought 1-0 away victory against Saint-Étienne on January 31, a result that lifted them to 13th place in the table. With a four-point cushion above the relegation zone, Boulogne are now looking to consolidate their position in mid-table.
Across their last five league outings, Boulogne have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 6 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. While their attack has not been prolific, their recent defensive improvements have been key to their revival. The home crowd will expect another disciplined display, especially against a Rodez side that tends to find the net regularly.
Rodez AF currently sit 11th in Ligue 2, two places above their upcoming opponents. However, their recent form has been less convincing. The team has drawn five of their last seven matches, including a 1-1 result against Red Star on January 30. Despite being difficult to beat, Rodez have struggled to turn performances into victories, winning only twice in their last nine league games.
In their last five fixtures, Rodez remain unbeaten with two wins and three draws, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per match while conceding 1.4. Over the season, their record reads 6 wins, 9 draws, and 6 defeats, with 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. A notable trend is their defensive vulnerability: Rodez have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 18 matches, including 16 consecutive league games. Moreover, Over 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 15 Ligue 2 fixtures, and their away matches almost always feature second-half action, with goals after the break in 14 consecutive away games.
Historically, Rodez have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning three of the last five meetings, while Boulogne have managed one victory and one draw. The most recent encounter ended 1-0 in favor of Boulogne on August 29, 2025, suggesting that the hosts know how to frustrate their opponents. Given the current form of both sides, another tight contest seems likely.
Boulogne’s recent success has been built on compact defending and efficient counterattacks, while Rodez’s open style often leads to entertaining matches with goals at both ends. The visitors’ tendency to concede regularly, combined with Boulogne’s improving home form, could tilt the balance slightly toward the hosts. However, Rodez’s attacking consistency means they remain a threat throughout the 90 minutes.
This Ligue 2 clash is expected to be balanced, with Boulogne relying on their recent momentum and home advantage, while Rodez aim to maintain their unbeaten streak. The hosts’ defensive organization could make the difference, especially against a side that has struggled to keep clean sheets. Given the statistical trends, goals are likely, but a high-scoring game seems less probable considering Boulogne’s cautious approach.
Both teams have reasons to be confident: Boulogne’s recent form suggests they can avoid defeat, while Rodez’s attacking rhythm ensures they remain competitive. The match could hinge on small details, particularly in the second half, where Rodez’s games often open up.
US Boulogne vs Rodez AF prediction by BetMines:
Both Teams To Score – Yes with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Boulogne
Rodez
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
4
6
1
9
1.5
6
4
2
8
2.5
7
3
4
6
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
8
2
8
2