The final match of the 17th round in Ligue 2 takes place on Monday evening, featuring US Boulogne and ES Troyes AC at the Stade de la Libération. It’s a clash between two teams with very different ambitions this season. Boulogne are currently fighting to escape the relegation zone, sitting 16th in the table, while Troyes lead the standings and aim to consolidate their position before the winter break. Despite the gap in the rankings, recent form suggests this could be a much tighter contest than expected.

Boulogne’s Recent Form and Key Stats

US Boulogne have shown resilience in recent weeks, going unbeaten in their last four Ligue 2 matches. Their latest result, a 1-1 draw against Clermont on December 5, extended a positive run that has brought them within two points of safety. Over their last five fixtures, Boulogne have recorded one win and four draws, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game while conceding 1.2. This improvement in attack has been crucial in their fight for survival.

Across the season, Boulogne’s record stands at four wins, four draws, and eight defeats, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. Interestingly, there have been over 0.5 goals in the second half of each of their last 11 games, showing their tendency to grow stronger as matches progress. However, they have also trailed at half-time in their last three home fixtures, something they will need to address if they want to challenge the league leaders.

• Ranking: 16th in Ligue 2


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 4 draws, 0 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.6 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.2 per match


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in last 11 matches

With their recent consistency and fighting spirit, Boulogne will look to make the most of their home advantage and end the year on a high note.

Troyes’ Recent Form and Key Stats

ES Troyes AC approach this fixture as the current Ligue 2 leaders, having lost only twice in 16 matches. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-1 draw against Rodez on December 6, a result that slightly slowed their momentum but did not threaten their top spot. Over the last five games, Troyes have collected three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded per match — a balance that highlights both their attacking efficiency and defensive solidity.

In total, Troyes have nine wins, five draws, and two losses this season, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game. Away from home, they have been particularly disciplined, with under 0.5 goals scored in two of their last ten away fixtures, suggesting a more cautious approach on the road. Still, their overall consistency and depth make them a formidable opponent for any side in the division.

• Ranking: 1st in Ligue 2


• Last 5 matches: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat


• Average goals scored: 1.8 per match


• Average goals conceded: 0.8 per match


• Under 0.5 goals in 2 of last 10 away matches

Troyes will be eager to return to winning ways and maintain their lead at the top before the winter break. Their combination of attacking flair and defensive organization has been the foundation of their success so far.

Head-to-Head and Match Analysis

Historically, Boulogne have enjoyed a slight edge in this fixture, with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five meetings against Troyes. The most recent encounter dates back to April 2012, when Boulogne won 2-1. On average, these matches have produced 1.4 goals scored by Boulogne and 0.6 conceded, indicating a generally balanced but low-scoring rivalry.

This time, however, the context is quite different. Troyes arrive as league leaders, while Boulogne are battling at the bottom. Yet, the home side’s recent unbeaten streak and improved scoring form suggest they could trouble the visitors. Both teams have shown a tendency to find the net lately — Boulogne have scored in each of their last five matches, while Troyes have averaged nearly two goals per game this season. Given these trends, fans can expect an open and competitive encounter at the Stade de la Libération.

BetMines Prediction and Final Verdict

According to the latest data, the probabilities for the 1X2 market are as follows: Boulogne win 25%, Draw 26%, and Troyes win 48%. The Both Teams To Score – Yes option stands at 49%, while Under 2.5 goals has a 55% likelihood. Considering Boulogne’s recent attacking improvement and Troyes’ consistent scoring record, the most balanced prediction points toward both sides finding the net.

US Boulogne vs ES Troyes AC prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 49% probability.