Tools
Bragantino
0 - 1
FT
Fortaleza
Prediction published on Nov 25, 2025 1:05 AM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on Nov 25, 2025 1:05 AM
The 36th round of the Brazilian Serie A brings an intriguing clash on Sunday, November 23, as Red Bull Bragantino host Fortaleza at the Estádio Municipal Cícero de Souza Marques in Bragança Paulista. The match kicks off at 19:00 (Brasília time) and features two sides with very different ambitions at this stage of the season. Bragantino are still chasing a spot in next year’s Copa Libertadores, while Fortaleza are fighting to avoid relegation and remain in the top flight.
Currently sitting 9th in the Serie A table with 45 points, Bragantino have shown signs of recovery after a difficult mid-season spell. Despite a recent 3-0 defeat to Flamengo, the team has managed three wins in their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game and conceding the same amount. Their overall record in the league stands at 13 wins, 6 draws, and 16 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.
At home, the Massa Bruta have been particularly strong in the second half of games — over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in each of their last 12 home matches, a trend that highlights their ability to grow into matches as they progress. Coach Vágner Mancini has built a side that thrives on intensity, pressing high, and quick transitions. The team’s attacking play is fluid, often relying on the creativity of Gustavo Neves and the finishing of Eduardo Sasha.
For this fixture, Mancini will be without several key players. Alix Vinícius is suspended, while Guzmán Rodríguez, Agustín Sant’Anna, Eric Ramires, Bruninho, Vinicinho, and Henry Mosquera remain sidelined through injury. On the positive side, Pedro Henrique and Vanderlan are available again, strengthening the defensive line. The expected starting eleven for Bragantino is: Cleiton; Andréas Hurtado, Pedro Henrique, Gustavo Marques, Juninho Capixaba; Gabriel, Fabinho, Jhon Jhon; Gustavo Neves, Lucas Barbosa, Eduardo Sasha.
Fortaleza enter this match in a precarious position, sitting 18th in the table and in desperate need of points to escape the relegation zone. Despite their struggles, the team has shown resilience in recent weeks, going nine matches unbeaten across all competitions, though only three of those ended in victory. Their most recent result was a 2-3 away win over Bahia, a crucial morale boost ahead of this trip to Bragança Paulista.
Under the guidance of Martín Palermo, Fortaleza have improved slightly in attack, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over their last five matches. However, defensive frailties remain a major concern, especially away from home — the team has conceded at least one goal in each of their last 15 away matches in Serie A. Furthermore, over 0.5 goals have been scored before half time in their last 21 league games, suggesting that their matches tend to open up early.
Palermo faces several absences for this encounter. Lucas Sasha is suspended, while João Ricardo, Emanuel Brítez, Weverson, Rodrigo Santos, Lucca Prior, and Marinho are all unavailable due to injury. The likely starting lineup for Fortaleza is: Brenno; Eros Mancuso, Lucas Gazal, Gastón Ávila, Bruno Pacheco; Pierre, Matheus Pereira, Tomás Pochettino; José Herrera, Breno Lopes, Adam Bareiro.
This matchup presents a classic contrast between a team pushing for continental qualification and another battling for survival. Bragantino are expected to dominate possession and dictate the tempo, using their home advantage and structured pressing to control the game. Their attacking trio of Neves, Barbosa, and Sasha will look to exploit Fortaleza’s defensive gaps, particularly in transitions.
Fortaleza, on the other hand, will likely adopt a more cautious approach, focusing on compactness and counterattacks. Their recent unbeaten run shows determination, but the defensive instability and numerous absences could prove costly against a side as organized and aggressive as Bragantino. The visitors’ best hope lies in quick breaks and set-piece opportunities, areas where Matheus Pereira and Adam Bareiro can make an impact.
Historically, the head-to-head record slightly favors Fortaleza, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in the last five meetings. However, Bragantino won the most recent encounter 3-1 on July 26, 2025, a result that underlines their strength at home. Given the current form and the context of the match, the hosts appear better positioned to secure a positive result.
RED BULL BRAGANTINO (4-3-3): Cleiton; Andréas Hurtado, Pedro Henrique, Gustavo Marques, Juninho Capixaba; Gabriel, Fabinho, Jhon Jhon; Gustavo Neves, Lucas Barbosa, Eduardo Sasha. Coach: Vágner Mancini
FORTALEZA (4-3-3): Brenno; Eros Mancuso, Lucas Gazal, Gastón Ávila, Bruno Pacheco; Pierre, Matheus Pereira, Tomás Pochettino; José Herrera, Breno Lopes, Adam Bareiro. Coach: Martín Palermo
Red Bull Bragantino vs Fortaleza prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a Red Bull Bragantino win (1) with a 51% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 26%, while a Fortaleza win (2) stands at 23%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Bragantino
Fortaleza
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
9
1
9
1
4.5
9
1
9
1