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Prediction published on Oct 16, 2026 8:04 AM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Oct 16, 2026 8:04 AM
Brentford host Liverpool at the Gtech Community Stadium on Saturday, October 17, with both sides seeking to turn draws into Premier League wins. Brentford are fourth on 10 points after six matches without defeat, while ninth-placed Liverpool are one point behind. Their most recent meeting ended 1-1, and both teams arrive after games featuring goals at each end. Brentford drew 2-2 with Aston Villa, before Liverpool won 6-3 away to LASK in the Champions League. With the hosts scoring twice per league match on average and neither side keeping a clean sheet in its latest outing, this Brentford vs Liverpool preview points to an open contest.
Brentford have opened their Premier League campaign with two wins and four draws, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Across their last five matches in all competitions, they have recorded two victories and three draws, again scoring 2.0 goals per game on average. Their latest point came against Aston Villa on October 10: Brentford scored first in a 2-2 draw, then needed a late goal to secure a result.
The draw extended Brentford's unbeaten sequence to 10 matches dating back to last season, although their defensive record offers Liverpool encouragement. The Bees have failed to keep a clean sheet in six of their last seven matches and have recorded only two shutouts in nine games this season. They have also gone without a home clean sheet in their last five meetings with Liverpool, even though they won the most recent time they hosted this fixture.
Goals have been a consistent feature of Brentford's games: their last 13 matches have all contained over 1.5 total goals, as have their last 11 Premier League fixtures. Each of those 13 matches has also featured at least one second-half goal. The hosts may, however, have fewer options available on Saturday. Kevin Schade and Jannik Schuster left the Aston Villa game with shoulder and ankle injuries respectively and will miss this match. Mikkel Damsgaard and Nathan Collins are doubtful, while Josh Dasilva, Antoni Milambo and Kaye Furo are confirmed absentees. Schade scored both home and away against Liverpool last season.
Liverpool travel to Brentford after an eventful 6-3 Champions League victory over LASK on October 14. Bradley Barcola scored his first three Liverpool goals in that game, providing a timely attacking contribution after the Reds had lost 3-0 to Manchester City in their previous outing. Across their last five matches, Liverpool have three wins, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
Their Premier League record is less convincing than that recent overall run: two wins, three draws and one loss from six fixtures, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Liverpool have let in six goals across their last two matches, leaving manager Andoni Iraola with a defensive issue to address. They are also without Ryan Gravenberch for this game after his dismissal against Manchester City. Dominik Szoboszlai, Alexander Isak and Cody Gakpo are major injury doubts, while Hugo Eketike is a long-term absentee.
Results against Brentford give the visitors a mixed picture. Liverpool have not beaten the Bees in their last two meetings, including the 1-1 draw on May 24, and conceded three goals on their previous visit. Over the last five head-to-head matches, though, Liverpool have three wins to Brentford's one, with one draw. They have scored in each of their last 10 meetings with Brentford but kept just one clean sheet during that run. Iraola has also yet to beat Brentford in seven previous meetings, losing five.
Brentford's unbeaten start and home advantage meet a Liverpool side capable of producing a six-goal performance, but also coming off six goals conceded in two games. The hosts have scored regularly in the league, while their recent clean-sheet record suggests Liverpool should have opportunities of their own. Saturday's match therefore brings together two teams with reasons to be confident going forward and concerns about preventing chances at the other end.
A draw cannot be dismissed: four of Brentford's six league games and three of Liverpool's six have finished level. The most recent head-to-head also ended all square. Yet that 1-1 result is part of a broader pattern in which Liverpool have continued to score against Brentford without often shutting them out. Combined with Brentford's run of matches featuring at least two total goals, those figures make goals for both sides a coherent reading of the available form.
Brentford vs Liverpool prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Brentford
Liverpool
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
2
8
2.5
2
8
3
7
3.5
5
5
6
4
4.5
7
3
9
1