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Prediction published on Oct 2, 2025 6:03 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Oct 2, 2025 6:07 PM
The 7th round of Ligue 1 brings an intriguing clash at the Stade Francis-Le Blé, where Stade Brestois will host FC Nantes on Saturday evening. Brest have finally found their rhythm after a slow start to the campaign, while Nantes continue to struggle near the bottom of the table. With both sides aiming to secure vital points before the international break, this encounter promises intensity and high stakes.
Brest endured a difficult opening to the season, picking up just one point from their first four matches. However, Éric Roy’s men have bounced back impressively with two consecutive victories, defeating OGC Nice 4-1 and Angers SCO 0-2. These results have lifted them to 9th place in Ligue 1, restoring confidence within the squad. Their season record now stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match.
At home, Brest have shown resilience, often starting strongly. They have led at half-time in 6 of their last 10 home fixtures, and in 27 of their last 30 Ligue 1 matches, there has been at least one goal before the break. This trend highlights their attacking intent from the outset. Key man Ludovic Ajorque has been instrumental, contributing 1 goal and 3 assists already this season. His ability to link play and create chances makes him a crucial figure for Brest’s offensive setup.
On the injury front, Brest will be without Justin Bourgault (U20 World Cup duty), while Lucas Tousart, Rémy Labeau-Lascary, and Mama Baldé are sidelined. Romain Del Castillo remains doubtful, but goalkeeper Radoslaw Majecki returned from suspension last weekend and kept his first clean sheet of the season, a confidence boost for the defensive unit.
Nantes find themselves in a precarious position, sitting 16th in the table with just one victory from six matches. That lone win came against Auxerre (1-0) on matchday three. Since then, Luis Castro’s side have gone three games without a win, losing to Nice (1-0) and drawing against Rennes (2-2) and Toulouse (2-2). Their season record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.
Defensively, Nantes have been fragile away from home. They have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 19 Ligue 1 away matches, and in total, 39 of their last 40 fixtures have seen at least one goal scored. This underlines their vulnerability on the road. Offensively, new signing Mayckel Lahdo recently opened his account with a goal against Toulouse, while Matthis Abline is still searching for his first strike of the season after missing a penalty against Rennes. Several players remain uncertain for this clash, including Chidozie Awaziem, Tylel Tati, Francis Coquelin, and Johann Lepenant, which could further weaken their options.
Historically, Brest have enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture, remaining unbeaten in their last five meetings with Nantes (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring an average of 2 goals per game while conceding just 0.4. Their most recent encounter ended in a 0-2 away win for Brest in February 2025. Given the current form, Brest appear well-positioned to extend this dominance.
Brest’s attacking momentum, combined with Nantes’ defensive frailties away from home, suggests that the hosts will look to impose themselves early. Nantes, while capable of scoring, often struggle to maintain defensive solidity, especially on the road. With Brest’s confidence growing and their recent performances showing efficiency in both attack and defense, they enter this match as clear favorites.
Considering the statistical trends and current form, this fixture is likely to feature goals, particularly given both teams’ tendencies to concede. However, Brest’s superior form and home advantage make them the stronger candidate for victory.
Brest vs Nantes prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 49% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Brest
Nantes
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
2
8
5
5
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
7
3
9
1
4.5
8
2
9
1