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Prediction published on Nov 6, 2026 4:39 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Nov 6, 2026 4:39 PM
Brest host Olympique Lyonnais in Ligue 1 on November 8, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 16:15 at Stade Francis-Le Ble. The teams enter the match from different positions: Brest are 10th after a 2-0 win at Lorient, while Lyon are third despite a difficult run of away league results. Brest have won only one of their four home matches this season, giving Lyon reason to hope for a better outcome on the road. At the same time, Brest’s recent form and scoring numbers suggest the visitors will face a demanding contest.
Brest have lost just once in their last four Ligue 1 matches. After a 2-1 defeat to Nice, they responded with a 2-0 away victory over Lorient on November 2. Across their last five matches, Brest have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. That attacking return gives them a platform for this fixture, although their home results have been less convincing: they have taken only one win from four league matches at Stade Francis-Le Ble.
Through nine Ligue 1 games, Brest’s record stands at three wins, three draws and three defeats. They have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, figures that point to both attacking potential and opportunities for opponents. Their games have also tended to produce late action: at least one second-half goal has been scored in 18 of Brest’s last 20 Ligue 1 matches. That statistic refers to total goals in those games, not necessarily goals scored by Brest.
Julien Lachuer’s team will again be without Brendan Chardonnet and Raphaël Le Guen. Among the available players highlighted in the build-up, Kamory Doumbia has contributed four Ligue 1 goals and one assist, while Ludovic Ajorque has scored four times in the competition. Their contributions offer Brest two sources of goals as they try to improve a home record that has not yet matched their recent overall form.
Olympique Lyonnais arrive in third place in Ligue 1 with five wins, two draws and two defeats. Their league averages of 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match help explain that standing. Their last five matches, however, have brought two wins, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded. Lyon therefore travel to Brest with a strong season record but a more mixed recent return.
There has also been a change in charge. Following Paulo Fonseca’s departure, Jorge Maciel is serving as interim coach. Lyon drew 1-1 away to Real Sociedad in the Europa League on November 5, showing they could earn a result on the road after that change. Their recent Ligue 1 away form remains a concern, though: they have collected just one point from their last three away league fixtures, against Paris FC, RC Lens and PSG.
Goals data presents a more detailed picture of Lyon’s travels. Their last 14 away matches have all finished under 3.5 total goals, but at least two goals have been scored in 22 of their last 23 matches overall. Three of Lyon’s last 10 away Ligue 1 games ended without a goal. These figures suggest that recent away matches have often stayed below four goals, even if Lyon’s broader run has regularly featured more than one.
Lyon are dealing with several availability concerns. Mohamed Ouédraogo, Tyler Morton, Pavel Sulc and Loïs Openda are injured, while Moussa Niakhaté and Ernest Nuamah are uncertain. Corentin Tolisso has been involved in three goals across Lyon’s last two matches, making his recent contribution an important part of their build-up to this trip.
This Ligue 1 meeting brings together Brest’s improved recent results and Lyon’s stronger position over the season so far. Brest’s win at Lorient and their five-match scoring average make it difficult to dismiss their attacking prospects. Lyon, meanwhile, have scored an average of 1.7 goals per league game, but their one-point return from three recent away league matches leaves them with something to prove at Stade Francis-Le Ble.
The head-to-head record adds another point of comparison: across the five meetings covered by the supplied summary, Brest have one win, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. The most recent meeting ended 2-1 on January 18, 2026. For this fixture, neither side’s case rests on a single statistic. Brest have the better five-match scoring average, while Lyon have the stronger league record and lower season-long goals-conceded average.
A match with chances for both teams is consistent with those figures. Brest’s 1.3 goals conceded per league game and Lyon’s 1.4 conceded across their last five matches indicate that each side has allowed scoring opportunities, while both have players who have contributed goals recently. Lyon’s restrained away-goals pattern is a reason for caution about expecting a particularly high score, but it does not rule out a goal at either end.
Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Brest
Olympique Lyonnais
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1