The final fixture of Matchday 22 in the Premier League will see Brighton & Hove Albion host AFC Bournemouth at the Amex Stadium on Monday night. Both sides are separated by just a few points in the standings, with Brighton sitting 11th and Bournemouth 15th after 21 games. With the mid-table battle heating up, this encounter promises to be a lively one as both teams aim to strengthen their positions in the league.

Brighton & Hove Albion’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Brighton have shown signs of recovery after a difficult December in which they failed to win any of their six league matches. The new year has brought renewed energy, with the Seagulls unbeaten in their last four games across all competitions, including a 2-1 victory over Manchester United in the FA Cup. Their recent record reads two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.

At home, Brighton have been particularly resilient, remaining unbeaten in their last three league fixtures at the Amex and keeping clean sheets in the last two. They have also won each of their last four league meetings against Bournemouth at this venue. The Seagulls’ attacking consistency has been notable — they have failed to score in only one of their ten home league games this season. Over 1.5 total goals have been scored in 32 of their last 34 Premier League matches, and goals in the second half have been a regular feature, occurring in 32 of those same 34 fixtures.

• Premier League record: W7 · D8 · L6


• Average goals scored: 1.5 | Average conceded: 1.3


• Over 1.5 goals in 32 of last 34 league matches


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 32 of last 34 league matches

With their recent momentum and strong home form, Brighton will be confident of extending their unbeaten run and pushing into the top half of the table.

AFC Bournemouth’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Bournemouth approach this match looking to build on a mixed run of results. They drew 2-2 with Newcastle United in their most recent Premier League outing and have recorded one win, two draws, and two defeats in their last five matches. Despite their inconsistency, the Cherries have been involved in some thrilling encounters, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game during that period.

High-scoring matches have become a hallmark of Bournemouth’s season. Each of their last nine away games has produced over 2.5 goals, and in fact, all nine have seen over 3.5 goals as well. However, they have struggled to turn those open games into victories, failing to win any of those nine away fixtures (D4 L5). Both teams have scored in the second half in 11 of their last 18 away league matches, underlining their attacking intent but also their defensive vulnerability.

• Premier League record: W6 · D8 · L7


• Average goals scored: 1.6 | Average conceded: 1.9


• Over 2.5 goals in last 9 away matches


• Over 3.5 goals in last 8 away Premier League matches


• Over 0.5 goals at half time in last 12 away league games

While Bournemouth are not in immediate relegation danger, their defensive issues remain a concern. They will need to tighten up at the back if they are to take points from a ground where they have historically struggled.

Brighton vs Bournemouth Analysis and Prediction

Both teams come into this fixture with attacking momentum but defensive fragility. Brighton’s home form and Bournemouth’s tendency to be involved in goal-heavy matches suggest that this could be another entertaining contest. The Seagulls have been consistent scorers at home, while the Cherries’ recent away games have averaged well over four goals per match.

Historically, this fixture has produced competitive encounters, with Brighton winning three of the last five meetings and Bournemouth taking two. The most recent clash ended 2-1 in favour of Bournemouth back in September, but Brighton’s current form and home advantage could tilt the balance this time around.

Given the statistical trends — particularly the frequency of matches featuring multiple goals for both sides — this game looks set to deliver attacking football and plenty of chances at both ends.

Brighton vs Bournemouth prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 51% probability.