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Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 1
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Brentford
Prediction published on Nov 20, 2025 9:02 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Nov 20, 2025 9:02 PM
After the international break, Brighton & Hove Albion return to Premier League action at the Amex Stadium, where they will host Brentford in what promises to be a lively encounter. Both sides are level on 16 points, sitting side by side in the mid-table zone, and will be eager to climb closer to the European qualification spots. With both teams showing attacking intent in recent weeks, this fixture could deliver plenty of entertainment for the fans on Saturday, November 22.
Brighton enter this match in 11th place, just ahead of Brentford on goal difference. Their last outing before the break ended in a goalless draw against Crystal Palace, a result that extended their unbeaten home run in the league. The Seagulls have collected 11 of their 16 points at the Amex Stadium, underlining their strong performances in front of their supporters. In fact, they have not lost any of their five home league matches this season, a run that includes a memorable 2-1 victory over Manchester City.
Across their last seven Premier League fixtures, Brighton have suffered just one defeat, though three of those ended in draws. Their attacking play has been consistent, averaging 1.6 goals scored per match, while conceding 1.4 goals on average. The team’s attacking rhythm has been boosted by Danny Welbeck, who has found the net six times in his last seven appearances. The veteran forward has been instrumental in Brighton’s recent success, with the team losing only once in the matches where he scored. His form has even sparked discussions about a potential recall to the England national team.
Brighton’s creativity has been somewhat affected by the absence of Kaoru Mitoma, who remains sidelined through injury. The Japanese winger was a key attacking outlet last season, contributing 14 goal involvements and finishing with an impressive expected goals (xG) of 9.28. Even without him, Brighton’s attacking structure remains solid, with their home matches consistently producing goals — Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 13 home league games, and there has been at least one goal in the second half in all of them.
Brentford travel to the south coast full of confidence after a convincing 3-1 win over Newcastle United before the break. That result marked their fourth victory in the last five matches, a run that has lifted them to 12th place in the standings. The Bees have been prolific in attack, averaging 2.6 goals per game in their last five outings, while conceding just one goal per match on average. Their attacking efficiency has been spearheaded by Igor Thiago, who sits just behind Erling Haaland in the Premier League’s top scorers’ chart. The Brazilian striker has scored eight goals this season, including six in his last seven matches, and will be the main threat to Brighton’s defense.
However, Brentford’s away form remains a concern. They have managed only one win in five away league games this season, losing the other four. Defensive frailties on the road have been evident, with 10 goals conceded in those five matches. Their most recent away fixture ended in a 2-0 defeat to Crystal Palace, and they have not beaten Brighton away since their Championship days. Historically, the Bees have struggled at the Amex, failing to win any of their last four league visits.
Despite these challenges, Brentford’s attacking unit remains dangerous. In their last starting lineup, every outfield player except the goalkeeper and back four contributed either a goal or an assist. Michael Kayode’s long throws have become a key weapon, often creating scoring opportunities for Thiago. If they can maintain their recent attacking rhythm, Brentford will be capable of testing Brighton’s defense throughout the match.
This fixture brings together two teams that prefer attacking football and have shown a tendency for high-scoring games. Their last head-to-head meeting ended in a 4-2 victory for Brighton in April 2025, and both sides have continued to produce matches with plenty of goals since then. Brighton’s home fixtures have consistently featured multiple goals, while Brentford’s recent matches have averaged over three goals per game.
Brighton’s main advantage lies in their home form and the ability to control possession, while Brentford’s counterattacking style could exploit any defensive lapses. The duel between Danny Welbeck and Igor Thiago will be particularly intriguing, as both forwards are in excellent form and capable of deciding the match. Given the attacking quality on display and the statistical trends, fans can expect an open and entertaining contest at the Amex Stadium.
Brighton vs Brentford prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brentford
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
3
7
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
10
0
10
0