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Brighton & Hove Albion
5 - 0
FT
Crystal Palace
Prediction published on Oct 16, 2026 11:02 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Oct 16, 2026 11:02 PM
Brighton & Hove Albion host Crystal Palace in the Premier League on October 18, 2026, with kick-off at 13:00 local time at The American Express Community Stadium. The teams return to domestic action after contrasting European results on October 15: Brighton beat Kauno Žalgiris 4-0, while Palace lost 3-2 to Olympique Lyonnais. Brighton enter the fixture third in the league after winning their last five matches in all competitions. Palace, in 12th, have a strong recent record against their hosts but arrive with a less convincing run of results away from home. Those competing trends make this a test of Brighton’s current form and Palace’s ability to trouble them again.
Brighton have won each of their last five matches, scoring an average of 3.4 goals and conceding just 0.4 per game across that stretch. Their Premier League record stands at four wins, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 3.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. The 4-0 home victory over Kauno Žalgiris continued their scoring form: it was the fourth time this season that Brighton had scored at least three goals at home, and it gave them a fourth clean sheet in five matches.
Their previous home league outing brought a 3-0 win over Arsenal, another example of the threat Palace must contain. Brighton’s home matches have also tended to start with a goal: each of their last 11 home games has featured at least one first-half goal, and they have led at half-time in seven of those fixtures. Those figures add weight to their strong recent results, though they do not erase the difficulties Brighton have had in this particular matchup.
Pascal Gross has recorded eight goal contributions across Brighton’s last seven matches. He played 57 minutes against Kauno Žalgiris after completing the full 90 in each of the team’s first nine games. Pascal Struijk is available following the overturning of his red card against Sunderland, although he missed the midweek match with a thigh injury and still has a fitness concern. Ibrahim Osman supplied two assists against Kauno Žalgiris but picked up a foot injury.
Crystal Palace have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five matches. In that period, they have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Their six Premier League games so far have yielded two wins, one draw and three defeats, with averages of 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The midweek defeat to Olympique Lyonnais was a setback, but scoring twice in that 3-2 loss also showed that Palace can pose an attacking threat.
Results on the road present the bigger concern for the visitors. Palace have won only one of their last seven away matches and have lost five of their last nine away Premier League fixtures. They have also trailed at half-time in six of their last ten away games, while eight of their last 12 Premier League matches have found them behind at the interval. Against a Brighton side with a strong record of scoring early at home, Palace will need to improve on those starts.
There are reasons for the visitors to retain confidence in front of goal. Palace have scored in seven of their nine matches this season, finding the net at least twice in six of them, and have recorded a league-high 108 shots. Daichi Kamada has scored in each of the last two matches; his goal against Lyon took him to four goal contributions for the season. Jean-Philippe Mateta is nursing a hamstring injury and is set to miss a ninth straight game, while goalkeeper Dean Henderson is recovering from a foot injury that has kept him out of six matches.
The recent head-to-head record gives Palace a clear counterargument to Brighton’s current form. They are unbeaten in the last four meetings, winning three, and have won on their last two visits to Brighton. The latest meeting finished 0-1 on February 8, 2026. Across the five matches covered by the supplied head-to-head summary, Brighton have one win, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
That history suggests Brighton cannot rely on their league position or five-match winning streak alone. Palace have repeatedly found a way to get results in this fixture, and their scoring record this season gives them a route into the contest despite their away form. At the other end, however, Brighton’s recent output creates a demanding assignment for visitors who have conceded an average of two goals per Premier League match.
The balance of the current evidence favours Brighton: they have scored freely, kept four clean sheets in five games and recently beaten Arsenal 3-0 at home. Palace’s record against the Seagulls makes this less straightforward than the teams’ recent results might imply, but their away defeats and frequent half-time deficits are significant concerns ahead of a visit to a side in strong scoring form.
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace prediction from BetMines: Brighton & Hove Albion win (1) with 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Brighton & Hove Albion
Crystal Palace
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
1
9
2.5
2
8
2
8
3.5
3
7
3
7
4.5
6
4
5
5