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Brighton & Hove Albion
4 - 0
FT
Kauno Žalgiris
Prediction published on Oct 14, 2026 9:32 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Oct 14, 2026 9:32 AM
Brighton & Hove Albion host Kauno Žalgiris in the Europa Conference League on October 15, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 local time at The American Express Community Stadium in Falmer. Brighton arrive unbeaten in five matches and with a strong defensive record in Europe, while the visitors have won four of their last five. It is a meeting between teams carrying domestic momentum into a competition where their recent results tell different stories: Brighton have yet to concede in their two Conference League matches, whereas Kauno Žalgiris have gone three consecutive European games without scoring.
Brighton have recorded four wins and one draw across their last five matches, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. Their most recent result was a 2-0 victory over Sunderland on October 10. The wider run includes wins against Arsenal and Manchester United, while their only defeat this season came in a seven-goal match against Chelsea. Those results give the home side a strong platform for this Conference League fixture without making the outcome a formality.
Brighton's European figures underline their defensive consistency: one win, one draw and no losses in the Europa Conference League, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded. They also beat Tromso 4-0 on aggregate in qualifying. Across nine matches this season, Brighton have registered six clean sheets, including three in their last four outings. At home, they have scored at least three goals in all but one match this season, a record Kauno Žalgiris will have to contend with.
Pascal Gross has been central to Brighton's attacking output. Over his last six matches, he has contributed four goals and four assists, going without a goal contribution only in the 1-1 draw against Leeds United. Bert Verbruggen has played his part in the clean-sheet record, while Jack Hinshelwood is set to miss his eighth Brighton game. There is also a notable early-goal trend: Brighton's last 10 home matches have all featured at least one first-half goal, and they have led at half-time in six of those games.
Kauno Žalgiris approach the trip after a 3-0 win over Minija on October 11. They have won four of their last five matches, losing the other, and have averaged 2.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded during that stretch. They also won the Lithuanian Cup in their most recent match described in the available match account. Their recent results give them encouragement, even as they face a Brighton side with an impressive home scoring record.
The visitors' route into this competition began in Champions League qualifying and continued through Europa League qualifying. Their European campaign has included defeats to Dinamo Zagreb and Besiktas, and they have failed to score in three straight European matches. That contrast between domestic form and European scoring results is a key question ahead of this fixture. Their away record also contains three goalless matches among the last 11, though they scored three times on their latest trip to Minija.
Leon Krekovic is a player to watch for Kauno Žalgiris. The forward scored during their elimination of Klaksvik in the preliminary rounds and has since added seven further goal involvements, none of them in Europe. He was on the scoresheet again in the Lithuanian Cup win. If Kauno Žalgiris are to improve on their recent European attacking returns, carrying that scoring form into this match would be significant.
The contrast is clear: both clubs have won four of their last five matches, but Brighton have combined that form with six clean sheets in nine outings and no goals conceded in their two Conference League fixtures. Kauno Žalgiris have found goals in their recent matches overall, yet their three-game scoring drought in Europe presents a tougher test of that momentum. Brighton's home scoring figures suggest the visitors may also need to withstand sustained pressure.
The Europa Conference League ranking supplied for this match places Brighton 17th and Kauno Žalgiris 35th. The stated match-win probabilities give Brighton 50%, the draw 24% and Kauno Žalgiris 25%. Those figures point to a home advantage, but the most relevant question for the scoring picture is whether the visitors can break their European drought against a defence that has repeatedly kept opponents out. Brighton's clean-sheet trend makes a game in which both sides score less persuasive than their recent overall goal averages might initially suggest.
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (No) with 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Brighton & Hove Albion
Kauno Žalgiris
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
5
5
5
5
4.5
6
4
6
4