Tools
Brighton & Hove Albion
3 - 2
FT
Liverpool
Prediction published on May 17, 2025 9:24 AM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on May 19, 2025 9:13 AM
The 37th round of the Premier League wraps up at the Falmer Stadium, where hosts Brighton face off against the newly crowned Premier League champions, Liverpool. The two teams meet more than six months after the reverse fixture, which proved to be a turning point in Liverpool’s title-winning campaign, sealed with four matches to spare. Back in that Matchday 10 clash, Liverpool pulled off a stunning comeback within two minutes (from the 70th to 72nd), overturning Kadioglu’s opener with goals from Gakpo and Salah. That comeback, one of many throughout the season, was crucial—especially as both Arsenal and Manchester City dropped points on the same weekend, giving the Reds a significant advantage that they never relinquished. Since clinching the title early, Arne Slot's team has visibly lowered its intensity, evidenced by a recent loss to Chelsea and a 2-2 draw with Arsenal in their last outing. The Dutch manager, who has proven himself a worthy successor to Jurgen Klopp, is now focused on planning for the next season, where Liverpool will aim to contend in both the Premier League and Champions League. Despite a strong start in Europe this year, the Reds were eliminated in the Round of 16 by a top-tier Paris Saint-Germain side that went on to reach the final. As for Brighton, their season has played out in mid-table. Despite seven European spots up for grabs in the Premier League, the Seagulls never quite looked capable of making a serious push. Defensive frailty has been their Achilles' heel, and should Fabian Hürzeler be confirmed as manager for next season, he is expected to request reinforcements in the back line. In attack, however, players like Welbeck, João Pedro, and Mitoma have delivered consistently. With no further goals to chase this season, Brighton will still be motivated to give their fans a proper farewell before their final away trip to Tottenham. Securing ninth place (an improvement on last season’s 11th) and claiming a prestigious result against the newly crowned champions would be a fitting end to their campaign.
In the last round, Brighton won 2-0 away at Wolves, with Welbeck scoring from the penalty spot in the first half and Gruda adding another in the second. This marked the third positive result in a row for Hürzeler's team, following a 3-2 win over West Ham and a 1-1 home draw with Newcastle.
After 36 matches, Brighton have collected 55 points from 14 wins, 13 draws and 9 defeats. Offensively, they’ve done well with 59 goals scored (an average of 1.64 per game), but their defensive record is concerning, with 56 goals conceded (1.56 per game).
At home, Brighton have lost only one of their last nine games, with 5 wins and 3 draws in that span. Over the course of the season, they’ve suffered three home losses, with 7 wins and 8 draws. In their last three home matches, they have both scored and conceded in each one.
Since clinching the Premier League title, Liverpool have slowed down slightly in terms of results. They lost 1-3 to Chelsea and drew 2-2 at Anfield against Arsenal in their most recent league match. True to form, the Reds started strong, going 2-0 up within 21 minutes through Gakpo and Diaz, before conceding twice to Martinelli and Merino.
With 83 points from 25 wins and 8 draws, Liverpool lead the Premier League. Slot’s side boasts the best attack in the league (83 goals in 36 games) and the second-best defense, with 37 goals conceded—only behind Arsenal.
On the road, the Reds have picked up 38 points from 11 wins, 5 draws and just 3 losses, averaging 2.33 goals scored per away game. A glimmer of hope for Brighton: two of those three away defeats have come since April.
In the reverse fixture played last November, Liverpool came from behind to win 2-1 at Anfield, with late goals from Gakpo and Salah canceling out Kadioglu’s opener. It was a thrilling, end-to-end match, with 8 shots on target for Liverpool and 5 for Brighton, out of 16 and 13 total shots respectively.
In these final weeks, Slot has been rotating his squad, giving fringe players a chance to prove their worth for next season. With the pressure off, Liverpool have been more open at the back, conceding in three straight matches.
Brighton, for their part, have only the objective of securing a top-nine finish and closing out their home campaign on a high note. Hürzeler will be looking for a strong performance in front of the home fans in their final game at the Amex Stadium this season.
Given the proactive and attacking style of both managers, we can expect a similar match to the reverse fixture—full of action, with goals likely at both ends.
For these reasons, the Brighton vs Liverpool 37th Premier League match prediction from the BetMines algorithm predicts a goal-rich game in which both teams will score.
BRIGHTON (4-2-3-1): Verbruggen; Wieffer, Dunk, Van Hecke, Estupiñán; Baleba, Ayari; Minteh, Pedro, Mitoma; Welbeck. Manager: Fabian Hürzeler
LIVERPOOL (4-2-3-1): Alisson; Bradley, Konaté, Van Dijk, Robertson; Gravenberch, Mac Allister; Salah, Szoboszlai, Gakpo; Díaz. Manager: Arne Slot
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Brighton & Hove Albion
Liverpool
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
0
10
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
10
0
8
2