At the Falmer Stadium, on Sunday, May 4, the 35th round of the Premier League will feature a crucial clash between Brighton, currently ninth in the standings, and Newcastle United, winners of the Carabao Cup and third in the league table. In their last league outing, the Seagulls showed great resilience by coming from behind to defeat West Ham 3-2 after being down 1-2 in the final minutes. Despite a disappointing April, Brighton are still in the race for a seventh-place finish, which, thanks to UEFA rankings, could be enough to qualify for the next season’s UEFA Europa Conference League. The target is six points away—difficult but not impossible. Brighton can also benefit from the direct clash between Fulham and Aston Villa, the two teams currently ahead of them, potentially causing one or both to drop points. Additionally, the remaining fixture list seems favourable: after facing Newcastle, Brighton will play teams with little left to fight for—Wolves, Liverpool, and Tottenham. As for Newcastle United, winning the Carabao Cup has already secured them European football for next season, but their main objective remains a place in the most prestigious competition of all: the UEFA Champions League. With a two-point lead over sixth place, their fate is in their own hands. To keep the dream alive, collecting all three points from the Falmer Stadium is a must. One key strength they can count on is their explosive attack, which has recently racked up big wins over Ipswich Town, Manchester United, and Crystal Palace.

Brighton Recent Form and Key Stats

Brighton's comeback win over West Ham ended a six-game winless streak across all competitions (3 draws and 3 losses). Their main concern remains a shaky defense, which has conceded an average of 2.6 goals per game in their last five matches—far too many for a team with European ambitions.

With the latest win, Hurzeler’s men now sit on 51 points, the result of 13 wins, 12 draws, and 9 defeats, narrowing the gap with seventh-placed Aston Villa. At home, Brighton have earned 28 points, averaging 1.53 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per match. Notably, they have won 4 of their last 6 home games at the Falmer Stadium, beating the likes of Chelsea, Bournemouth, Fulham, and West Ham.

Newcastle United Recent Form and Key Stats

Newcastle come into this game in fine form, having beaten Ipswich Town 3-0, marking their sixth win in the last seven Premier League matches. Eddie Howe's side has shown excellent attacking flair, scoring an average of 3.2 goals in their last 5 games, including standout victories like the 4-1 against Manchester United and the 5-0 thrashing of Crystal Palace.

On the road in 2025, the Magpies have secured 4 wins (including three straight between March 10 and April 7, not counting the Carabao Cup final at Wembley) and suffered 3 defeats—the most recent being the 4-1 loss at Aston Villa on April 19. Away from home, they average 1.59 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game.

Brighton vs Newcastle United Prediction and Tactical Overview

Brighton will be without Joao Pedro (10 goals in the league) due to suspension, but need a win to close the gap on the seventh spot—especially with Aston Villa vs Fulham potentially resulting in dropped points for their direct rivals.

On the other side, Newcastle are riding high on confidence after their Carabao Cup triumph and are determined to secure Champions League qualification. Given the Magpies’ recent goal-scoring spree and Brighton’s defensive frailties (they’ve conceded in their last five games), a high-scoring affair seems likely.

In the last five head-to-head matches, Brighton have won twice, Newcastle once, and there have been two draws. In four of those games, including their most recent FA Cup encounter in March (won by Brighton in extra time), both teams scored.

For these reasons, the BetMines algorithm prediction for Brighton vs Newcastle United is that both teams will score at least one goal.

• The BetMines Algorithm prediction for Brighton vs Newcastle United predicts that both teams will score at least one goal at 65%
• The BetMines Algorithm prediction for Brighton vs Newcastle United predicts that at least one of the two teams will not score any goals at 35%.

Brighton vs Newcastle United Predicted Lineups

BRIGHTON (4-2-3-1): Verbruggen; Wieffer, Dunk, Van Hecke, Estupinan; Baleba, Hinshelwood; Minteh, O'Riley, Mitoma; Welbeck. Manager: Hurzeler

NEWCASTLE UNITED (4-3-3): Pope; Trippier, Schar, Burn, Livramento; Bruno Guimaraes, Tonali, Willock; Murphy, Isak, Barnes. Manager: Howe