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Brisbane Roar
9:00 AM
October 23, 2026
Perth Glory
Prediction published on Oct 21, 2026 10:33 AM by Dario in Australia - A-League Men | Modified on Oct 21, 2026 10:33 AM
Brisbane Roar host Perth Glory at Suncorp Stadium on Friday, October 23, as matchday two of the A-League Men gets under way. Both clubs are looking to improve on their previous league campaigns, but they approach this fixture from different starting points: Perth lost 2-1 to Macarthur in their opening match, while Brisbane arrive after a pre-season that ended with consecutive wins. There is also a notable pattern in this matchup, with both teams scoring in the last four meetings. Brisbane have gone three home games without beating Perth, adding another question to a fixture that has recently produced goals at both ends.
Brisbane Roar finished second-to-bottom in each of the last two top-flight seasons and will be seeking a better return this time. Their preparations brought mixed results. After reaching the second round of the Australia Cup in August, Brisbane lost the first two of their four subsequent pre-season matches before beating Olympic FC and Broadmeadow. The latter victory was a 3-1 win over Broadmeadow Magic on October 11.
Across their last five matches, Brisbane have recorded two wins and three defeats, scoring an average of 1.8 goals and conceding 3.2 per game. That scoring rate offers encouragement ahead of their home fixture, although the number conceded shows why their defensive performances remain an important part of the preview. Their last league campaign at home yielded 13 points from 13 matches, with three wins, four draws and six defeats. Home advantage did not translate into a win in any of their last three meetings with Perth at this venue.
Brisbane are listed ninth in the supplied A-League Men ranking, one place above Friday’s visitors. The immediate aim will be to turn the positive finish to pre-season into a stronger home showing than they managed across last season. Their recent results demonstrate that they can score, but the goals conceded across that five-match sample leave room for Perth to make an impact too.
Perth Glory moved up to 10th last season after finishing bottom in each of the two campaigns before it. They closed that season unbeaten in five games, taking two wins and three draws, but could not carry that run into their first league fixture this term. Against Macarthur on October 17, Perth held a one-goal lead before losing 2-1. Their A-League Men record this season therefore stands at no wins, no draws and one defeat, with one goal scored and two conceded.
The visitors’ more recent five-match figures are two wins, one draw and two defeats. They have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in that span, a more balanced set of numbers than Brisbane’s. The Macarthur defeat nevertheless puts the focus on their ability to protect an advantage when they face a Brisbane side that has scored regularly across its own last five matches.
Perth took 14 points from 13 away league games last season and have not won a league match on the road in 2026. Their away scoring statistic needs careful reading: two of their last 10 away matches finished with under 0.5 total goals, meaning those fixtures were goalless. The same is true of two of their last 10 matches overall. Those figures describe total match goals rather than Perth’s individual scoring record, but they show that eight games in each sample featured at least one goal.
The recent head-to-head results offer no clear dominance. The supplied five-match summary for Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory shows two wins, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The latest meeting, on April 25, ended 2-1. More relevant to the scoring outlook, both sides found the net in each of the last four matches between them.
There are reasons to examine both attacks and both defences ahead of Friday’s game. Brisbane’s last-five averages of 1.8 scored and 3.2 conceded point to matches in which they have been involved at both ends. Perth’s corresponding figures are lower, at 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded, but their opening 2-1 defeat also featured a goal for each team. Brisbane’s three-match winless home sequence against Perth and the visitors’ lack of a league away win in 2026 leave neither side with an uncomplicated case based on venue form alone.
The supplied probabilities put a Brisbane win at 45%, a draw at 25% and a Perth win at 30%. Yet the clearest recurring fixture-specific trend concerns goals for both teams rather than the result. Whether Brisbane can build on their two pre-season wins or Perth can respond to their opening defeat, each side has recent evidence of scoring as well as conceding. That combination makes the previous meetings a useful reference point without treating them as a guarantee of another similar scoreline.
Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Brisbane Roar
Perth Glory
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
1
9
5
5
3.5
3
7
7
3
4.5
7
3
10
0