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Burgos
1 - 1
FT
Deportivo La Coruña
Prediction published on Apr 23, 2026 7:02 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on Apr 23, 2026 7:02 PM
The clash between Burgos and Deportivo La Coruña promises to be one of the most exciting fixtures of the LaLiga Hypermotion round 37. Scheduled for 18:30, this encounter brings together two teams that have shown remarkable form in the second half of the season. Both sides are fighting for promotion-related objectives, with Burgos aiming to consolidate their playoff position and Deportivo looking to strengthen their automatic promotion hopes.
Burgos approach this match after a 3-1 defeat against Castellón, a result that ended their impressive unbeaten streak of eight matches. Despite that setback, the team remains in the upper part of the table, currently sitting in seventh place with 60 points. Their recent record shows consistency and competitiveness, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings. During that stretch, they averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Throughout the season, Burgos have maintained solid numbers in La Liga 2: 17 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match. Their defensive reliability has been a key factor, especially at home, where they have not lost at half time in 18 of their last 20 matches. Another interesting trend is that in 29 of their last 31 games, at least one team failed to score in the second half, suggesting a pattern of tight and controlled performances after the break.
Playing at home could once again be decisive for Burgos, who have turned their stadium into a difficult ground for visiting teams. Their ability to control the tempo and maintain defensive order will be crucial against one of the most efficient attacks in the league.
Deportivo La Coruña travel to El Plantío after a convincing 3-1 victory over Mirandés, a result that extended their unbeaten run to seven matches. The Galician side have been one of the most consistent teams in the competition, combining defensive discipline with attacking efficiency. Over their last five games, they have recorded two wins and three draws, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding only 0.8 per match.
In the overall season statistics, Deportivo have achieved 18 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Their offensive strength is particularly evident in the second half of matches: over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in 34 of their last 37 fixtures. This trend highlights their ability to grow into games and find decisive moments late on.
With promotion within reach, Deportivo’s motivation is at its peak. Their recent performances show a team capable of adapting to different match scenarios, combining patience in possession with quick transitions. Maintaining their unbeaten run will be key to keeping pressure on the league leaders.
The head-to-head record between these two sides is balanced, with one win each and one draw in their last three meetings. The most recent encounter ended 0-0, underlining how evenly matched they are. Burgos’ defensive resilience will be tested against Deportivo’s dynamic attack, which has been particularly effective in the second halves of matches. The home side will likely rely on their compact structure and efficiency on the counter, while Deportivo may look to dominate possession and exploit spaces as the game progresses.
Given the current form of both teams, this fixture could be tight and tactical, especially in the first half. Burgos’ strong home record suggests they will be difficult to break down early on, but Deportivo’s momentum and attacking rhythm could make the difference in the later stages. The visitors’ ability to score consistently after the break might tilt the balance in their favor.
Statistically, the win probabilities stand at 32% for Burgos, 29% for a draw, and 39% for Deportivo La Coruña. The BTTS market is finely balanced (Yes 49%, No 51%), while the Over/Under 2.5 goals line also shows equilibrium (Over 49%, Under 51%). These numbers reinforce the expectation of a close and competitive match, possibly decided by small details.
Burgos vs Deportivo La Coruña prediction from BetMines: Away Win (2) with 39% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Burgos
Deportivo La Coruña
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
5
5
1
9
2.5
8
2
7
3
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
9
1
10
0