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Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Premier League 11-04-2026

Burnley

0 - 2

FT

Brighton & Hove Albion

Turf Moor
Thomas Bramall
rain and snow 7.15 °C

Prediction published on Apr 9, 2026 3:06 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Apr 9, 2026 3:06 PM

The upcoming Premier League clash between Burnley and Brighton & Hove Albion promises to be a fascinating encounter between two sides with very different ambitions. The match will take place at Turf Moor, where the home team desperately needs points to keep their survival hopes alive, while the visitors are looking to strengthen their position in the top half of the table. With both teams coming off contrasting results before the international break, this fixture could have a significant impact on their respective seasons.


Burnley’s Recent Form and Key Statistics


Burnley enter this match in a difficult situation, sitting 19th in the Premier League standings. Their recent form has been poor, with no wins in their last five matches (two draws and three defeats). The Clarets’ last outing ended in a 3-1 loss against Fulham, a result that further deepened their relegation worries. Over the course of the season, Burnley have recorded just four wins, eight draws, and nineteen defeats, averaging 1.1 goals scored and conceding 2.0 per game.


At Turf Moor, the home side have struggled to impose themselves. They have earned only 11 points from 15 home matches (two wins, five draws, eight losses), making them one of the weakest home performers in the league. Their defensive record is particularly concerning, with 38 goals conceded at home — the highest in the division — while scoring only 15. In addition, Burnley have lost at half time in seven of their last eleven home games, showing a tendency to start slowly and chase matches after the break.


Despite their effort and determination, the Clarets have failed to win in 21 of their last 22 league fixtures, a run that highlights their ongoing struggles. They have also found goals hard to come by, failing to score in two of their last three home matches. The lack of attacking efficiency and defensive lapses have left them in a precarious position as the season enters its final stretch.



  • Premier League ranking: 19th

  • Last 5 matches: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats

  • Average goals scored: 1.0 | Average conceded: 2.0

  • Winless in 21 of their last 22 league games

  • Lost at half time in 8 of their last 13 matches


Brighton & Hove Albion’s Recent Form and Key Statistics


Brighton & Hove Albion arrive at Turf Moor in excellent form, having won four of their last five league matches. Their most recent victory was a 2-1 triumph over Liverpool, a result that underlined their growing confidence and attacking sharpness. The Seagulls currently occupy 10th place in the Premier League table, with a record of eleven wins, ten draws, and ten defeats. They have averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season, showing a balanced approach between attack and defense.


Underlining their consistency, Brighton have been involved in low-scoring encounters recently, with under 3.5 total goals in each of their last fourteen matches. This trend suggests a disciplined defensive structure combined with efficient finishing in attack. Away from home, they have also shown improvement, winning their last two away games — as many as they managed in their first thirteen away fixtures of the campaign. Moreover, they are unbeaten in their last four visits to Turf Moor, winning two and drawing two.


Brighton’s attacking play has been boosted by the form of their forwards, with several players contributing key goals in recent weeks. Their ability to maintain possession and create chances has been a defining feature of their resurgence. The Seagulls have also scored at least one goal in the second half in twenty of their last twenty-two away matches, highlighting their strength in finishing games strongly.



  • Premier League ranking: 10th

  • Last 5 matches: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 defeat

  • Average goals scored: 1.4 | Average conceded: 0.6

  • Under 3.5 goals in last 14 matches

  • Won last two away games


Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion Analysis


This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting momentum. Burnley are fighting for survival and have struggled to find consistency, while Brighton are pushing for a top-half finish and possibly a European spot. The home side’s main issue has been their inability to convert chances and maintain defensive discipline, often conceding early and failing to recover. Their record of losing at half time in a majority of recent matches reflects this pattern.


Brighton, on the other hand, have been one of the most consistent teams in recent weeks. Their controlled style of play and ability to manage tight games have been key to their success. The visitors’ solid defense and clinical finishing make them favorites heading into this contest. Historically, Brighton have also enjoyed positive results at Turf Moor, which could further boost their confidence.


Given the current form and statistical trends, this match is likely to see Brighton dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities. Burnley will need to rely on set pieces and counterattacks to have any chance of securing a result. However, with their poor home record and Brighton’s strong away form, the balance clearly tilts in favor of the visitors.


BetMines Prediction


Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction from BetMines: Brighton & Hove Albion win (2) with 50% probability. The visitors’ superior form and attacking efficiency make them the likelier side to claim all three points at Turf Moor.

Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Predictions

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Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Burnley

Brighton & Hove Albion

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

50%

5

50%

5

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

100%

10

0%

0

BetMines

Standings of Burnley and Brighton & Hove Albion in Premier League

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

8

Brighton & Hove Albion

38

14

11

13

52:46

53

1.39

W
L
W
L
L
19

Burnley

38

4

10

24

38:75

22

0.58

L
L
D
L
D
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation

Who will win ?

Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion be played?
The Premier League match between Burnley and Brighton & Hove Albion will be played on April 11, 2026 at 14:00.
Where will Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion be played?
The match between Burnley and Brighton & Hove Albion will be played at Turf Moor, Burnley - England
Who will referee Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
The referee for the match will be Thomas Bramall.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League?
The odds are: Burnley to win 5.00, draw 4.20, Brighton & Hove Albion to win 1.65.
What are the betting odds for Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Premier League?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.66 and Under 2.5 at 2.20.
Will both Burnley and Brighton & Hove Albion score in the Premier League?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.66, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.10.
What is the most likely correct score for Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 8.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Burnley and Brighton & Hove Albion?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Burnley and Brighton & Hove Albion, Burnley won 1 times, Brighton & Hove Albion won 2, and 2 ended in a draw.

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