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Prediction published on Dec 12, 2025 2:02 AM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Dec 12, 2025 2:02 AM
The Premier League weekend continues with an intriguing clash at Turf Moor as Burnley host Fulham. Both sides are struggling to find consistency, and this encounter could prove crucial in shaping their campaigns. Burnley, sitting deep in the relegation zone, are desperate to halt a worrying losing streak, while Fulham aim to bounce back from consecutive defeats and strengthen their mid-table position. With both teams under pressure, this fixture promises intensity and determination from the first whistle.
Burnley enter this match in dire need of a turnaround. The Clarets have lost their last six league games, including a 2-1 defeat to Newcastle United on December 6. Their last victory dates back to late October, and since then, they have struggled to find rhythm or defensive stability. In their last five matches, Burnley have averaged just 0.8 goals scored per game while conceding 2.2, a statistic that highlights their ongoing defensive issues.
Across the season, Burnley’s record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 11 defeats, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match. The team’s inability to keep clean sheets has been a major concern — they have managed only one in their last ten outings. Moreover, they have lost at half time in each of their last three home matches and have gone 21 of their last 22 games without a draw. Turf Moor has not been the fortress they hoped for, and with several key players missing through injury and suspension, the task ahead looks even tougher.
Despite their struggles, Burnley have shown some attacking intent, scoring in seven of their last ten matches. However, their defensive frailties continue to cost them valuable points. With a depleted squad and morale low, manager Scott Parker faces a significant challenge to inspire a response from his players.
Fulham arrive at Turf Moor looking to recover from back-to-back defeats, the latest being a 2-1 home loss to Crystal Palace on December 7. Despite their recent setbacks, the London side remain four places above Burnley in the table, sitting 15th with a seven-point cushion. Their season record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses reflects inconsistency, but they have shown flashes of attacking quality, averaging 1.3 goals per game.
In their last five matches, Fulham have recorded two wins and three defeats, scoring an average of 1.6 goals while conceding 2.0. Their defensive record away from home remains a concern — they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 15 Premier League away matches. Furthermore, Fulham have lost at half time in eight of their last twelve away fixtures, suggesting slow starts on the road.
Although Fulham have not beaten Burnley in their last six meetings, they will see this as an opportunity to end that run. Their attacking players have been creating chances, and if they can tighten up defensively, they have the quality to secure a much-needed away win. However, with several players unavailable due to injuries and upcoming international duties, squad depth could become an issue as the season progresses.
This fixture brings together two teams desperate for points but struggling for form. Burnley’s home advantage may count for little given their current defensive instability and lengthy list of absentees. Fulham, on the other hand, have been inconsistent but possess greater attacking balance and a slightly stronger overall record. The visitors’ tendency to concede away from home could make this an open contest, especially as Burnley have scored in most of their recent matches.
Historically, Burnley have had the upper hand in this fixture, remaining unbeaten in the last six meetings. However, current form suggests that Fulham might finally break that streak. With both teams prone to conceding, goals are expected, and the second half could be particularly lively given both sides’ trends of late scoring.
Considering the statistical data and recent performances, Fulham appear better positioned to take advantage of Burnley’s defensive weaknesses. The Clarets’ inability to hold leads and their poor record at home make them vulnerable against a Fulham side eager to bounce back.
Burnley vs Fulham prediction by BetMines:
Fulham win (2) with 46% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Burnley
Fulham
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
9
1
8
2