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Burnley vs Mansfield Town Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | FA Cup 14-02-2026

Burnley

1 - 2

FT

Mansfield Town

Turf Moor
Gavin Ward
sky is clear 3.13 °C

Prediction published on Feb 12, 2026 4:10 PM by Dario in England - FA Cup | Modified on Feb 12, 2026 4:10 PM

The FA Cup continues with an intriguing Round 4 clash as Burnley host Mansfield Town. For the Premier League side, this fixture could serve as a welcome distraction from their domestic struggles, while the visitors will be eager to prove that their impressive cup run is no fluke. With both teams coming off contrasting results, this encounter promises to deliver plenty of action and goals.


Burnley’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Burnley finally ended a long 16-game winless streak with a thrilling 3-2 victory away at Crystal Palace. That result not only lifted morale but also reminded fans of the team’s attacking potential when confidence returns. Over their last five matches, Burnley have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Despite their defensive frailties, the Clarets have shown flashes of resilience, particularly in cup competitions.


In the FA Cup, Burnley have been dominant so far, winning their only match 5-1 against Millwall. That performance highlighted their superior quality and attacking depth, even if their league form remains inconsistent. However, defensive issues persist — they have conceded at least one goal in 25 of their last 27 matches, a statistic that underlines their vulnerability at the back. Another concern is their tendency to start slowly, having lost at half time in 6 of their last 10 home games.



  • FA Cup record: 1 win, 0 draws, 0 defeats

  • Average goals scored: 5.0

  • Average goals conceded: 1.0

  • Last 5 matches: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats


Despite their struggles, Burnley’s superior experience and quality should make them favorites to progress, especially with home advantage and renewed confidence after their recent win.


Mansfield Town’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Mansfield Town enter this tie after a narrow 1-2 defeat to Peterborough United, a result that ended their nine-game unbeaten streak. Their recent form has dipped, with no wins in their last five matches (4 draws and 1 defeat), averaging just 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. While their defense has been relatively solid, their attack has struggled to convert chances, which could be costly against a higher-tier opponent.


In the FA Cup, however, Mansfield have been impressive, winning two and drawing one of their three matches so far. They have averaged 2.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game in the competition, showing both attacking flair and defensive fragility. Interestingly, they have led at half time in 6 of their last 10 away FA Cup fixtures, suggesting they often start strong in knockout games. Yet, maintaining that intensity against a Premier League side will be a different challenge altogether.



  • FA Cup record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 0 defeats

  • Average goals scored: 2.7

  • Average goals conceded: 2.0

  • Last 5 matches: 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 defeat


While Mansfield’s cup journey has been commendable, their recent dip in form and defensive lapses could make this a difficult outing. They will need to rediscover their early-round sharpness to stand a chance of upsetting the odds.


Burnley vs Mansfield Town Analysis and Prediction


This FA Cup tie pits a struggling top-flight side against a lower-division team that has punched above its weight so far. Burnley’s attacking quality and experience should give them the upper hand, especially after their morale-boosting win over Crystal Palace. Their ability to score multiple goals, as seen in the 5-1 demolition of Millwall, could again prove decisive.


Mansfield Town, on the other hand, will look to exploit Burnley’s defensive weaknesses. Their record of scoring in every FA Cup match this season suggests they can find the net, but their tendency to concede heavily could be their undoing. With both teams showing defensive vulnerabilities, goals are likely at both ends.


Historically, such matchups often favor the higher-division side, and Burnley’s need for a positive result could see them approach this game with full intensity. Expect an open contest with plenty of attacking intent from both sides, but Burnley’s superior quality should ultimately prevail.


Burnley vs Mansfield Town prediction by BetMines:
Burnley win (1) with 36% probability.

Burnley vs Mansfield Town - Predictions

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Burnley vs Mansfield Town: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Burnley

Mansfield Town

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

30%

3

70%

7

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

40%

4

60%

6

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

50%

5

50%

5

70%

7

30%

3

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

BetMines

Standings of Burnley and Mansfield Town in FA Cup

Who will win ?

Burnley vs Mansfield Town: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Burnley vs Mansfield Town be played?
The FA Cup match between Burnley and Mansfield Town will be played on February 14, 2026 at 15:00.
Where will Burnley vs Mansfield Town be played?
The match between Burnley and Mansfield Town will be played at Turf Moor, Burnley - England
Who will referee Burnley vs Mansfield Town?
The referee for the match will be Gavin Ward.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Burnley vs Mansfield Town in the FA Cup?
The odds are: Burnley to win 1.38, draw 4.75, Mansfield Town to win 8.00.
What are the betting odds for Burnley vs Mansfield Town for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the FA Cup?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.72 and Under 2.5 at 2.10.
Will both Burnley and Mansfield Town score in the FA Cup?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.95, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.80.
What is the most likely correct score for Burnley vs Mansfield Town in the FA Cup?
The most likely correct score is 2-0, with odds of 7.

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