Tools
Prediction published on Feb 5, 2026 6:01 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Feb 5, 2026 6:01 PM
The Premier League survival battle intensifies this weekend as Burnley welcome West Ham United to Turf Moor. Both sides are desperate for points, sitting in the relegation zone after 24 matches. The Clarets occupy 19th place, while the Hammers are just one spot above them in 18th. With the season entering its decisive phase, this clash could prove pivotal in shaping the fate of both clubs. The last meeting between these two sides ended 3-2 in favor of West Ham, and another high-scoring encounter could be on the cards.
Burnley’s return to the top flight has been far from smooth. After winning the Championship last season, they have struggled to adapt to Premier League intensity. The Clarets have collected only 15 points from 24 matches, with a record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 15 defeats. Their average of 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded per game highlights their difficulties at both ends of the pitch.
Their recent form paints a worrying picture: no wins in their last 15 league games (D5 L10). The 3-0 defeat to Sunderland on February 2 extended that streak, leaving them in dire need of a turnaround. Burnley have also lost at half time in 7 of their last 11 Premier League matches, often finding themselves chasing games. At Turf Moor, they have managed just two victories in 12 home fixtures, taking 10 points overall. Defensive lapses have been costly, with the team conceding two or more goals in four of their last five home outings.
Despite their struggles, Burnley have shown flashes of resilience. They have drawn three of their last four home matches, suggesting that they can still make Turf Moor a difficult place to visit. However, their inability to convert chances remains a major concern, as they continue to post one of the lowest expected goals (xG) figures in the league.
West Ham United have endured a similarly turbulent campaign. Their 3-2 defeat to Chelsea on January 31 was a bitter blow, especially after leading by two goals. That collapse epitomized their season — no team has dropped more points from winning positions in the Premier League so far. The Hammers’ record stands at 5 wins, 5 draws, and 14 defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
Despite their inconsistency, there have been signs of improvement. They recently secured important victories over Tottenham and Sunderland, as well as a morale-boosting FA Cup win against QPR. However, their away form remains a major weakness: only two wins from 12 away matches (D4 L6), and they have conceded three or more goals in three of their last four on the road.
Defensively, West Ham have been fragile, conceding at least one goal in each of their last 22 matches in all competitions. Their games tend to be open and entertaining, with over 1.5 goals scored in 33 of their last 34 matches. The attacking spark has come from Crysencio Summerville, who has scored in each of his last four matches and contributed six goal involvements in his last five appearances. His form could be crucial in this relegation six-pointer.
Both teams enter this fixture under immense pressure. Burnley’s inability to win and West Ham’s defensive frailties suggest that this could be a high-scoring affair. The Clarets have struggled to keep clean sheets, while the Hammers’ attacking players have found form in recent weeks. Historically, this matchup has produced goals — the last three meetings have all gone over 2.5 goals, including the 3-2 result earlier this season.
Burnley’s home advantage could play a role, but their lack of confidence and injuries to key players such as Mike Tresor, Jordan Beyer, and Connor Roberts leave them short of options. West Ham, meanwhile, will be without Jean-Clair Tobido due to suspension and Lukasz Fabianski through injury, which could further expose their defensive vulnerabilities.
Given the statistics, both sides are likely to find the net. Burnley’s desperation for a win and West Ham’s attacking momentum point toward an open contest. The combination of poor defenses and attacking intent makes Both Teams To Score a logical expectation.
Burnley vs West Ham United prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 55% probability.
With both teams conceding frequently and showing attacking promise, goals at both ends seem highly probable. Burnley’s home struggles and West Ham’s leaky defense suggest that neither side will keep a clean sheet. Expect an entertaining and tense encounter at Turf Moor, where every goal could have massive implications for the relegation battle.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Burnley
West Ham United
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
5
5
6
4
4.5
8
2
10
0