The final day of the Premier League season brings together two relegated sides as Burnley host Wolverhampton Wanderers in a match that will decide who finishes bottom of the table. Both teams have endured extremely difficult campaigns, marked by defensive instability and a lack of consistency. With their fate already sealed, this encounter at Turf Moor is more about pride and ending the season on a positive note. Given their respective defensive records, fans could still be treated to an open and entertaining game.

Burnley’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Burnley return to the Championship after a single season in the top flight, having struggled to adapt to the Premier League’s intensity. The Clarets have recorded only four wins, nine draws, and twenty-four defeats, averaging just one goal scored per match while conceding two. Their defensive issues have been persistent, with at least one goal conceded in twenty of their last twenty-one league games. The team’s home form has been particularly poor, collecting only twelve points from eighteen matches at Turf Moor.

Recent performances underline their struggles: in the last five matches, Burnley have failed to win, drawing once and losing four times, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Their most recent outing ended in a narrow 1-0 defeat away to Arsenal, a result that, despite the loss, offered some encouragement given the quality of the opposition. Burnley have also failed to win in twenty-seven of their last twenty-eight league matches, a statistic that highlights the scale of their decline.

Offensively, the team has relied heavily on Zian Flemming and Jaidon Anthony. Flemming leads the scoring charts with eleven goals, while Anthony follows with nine. However, Burnley’s inability to capitalize on their top scorer’s contributions has been evident, as the team failed to win any of the eight matches in which Flemming found the net after the reverse fixture against Wolves. Despite these shortcomings, Burnley will hope to use their home advantage to end the season on a high note.

Wolverhampton Wanderers’ Recent Form and Key Stats

Wolverhampton Wanderers approach the final day in a similar situation, having also suffered relegation after a disappointing campaign. Their record stands at three wins, ten draws, and twenty-four defeats, with an average of 0.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. The visitors have been particularly poor away from home, failing to win in their last seventeen away fixtures in the Premier League. They have also not led at half time in any of their last eighteen matches, underlining their slow starts and lack of attacking sharpness.

In their last five games, Wolves have drawn twice and lost three times, scoring only 0.4 goals per match while conceding 1.8. Their most recent result was a 1-1 draw at home against Fulham, which at least halted a run of consecutive defeats. However, with only nineteen points collected from thirty-seven matches, Wolves are guaranteed to finish among the bottom two regardless of the result here. Their last win came several weeks ago, and the team’s inability to convert chances has been a recurring theme throughout the season.

In attack, Tolu Arokodare has been the most productive player with six goals, while young forward Mateus Mane has shown promise with three goals, including one in the draw against Fulham. Despite these efforts, Wolves’ overall attacking output has been among the lowest in the league, with only three players managing to score at least five goals this season. The visitors will need a strong collective performance to avoid finishing bottom of the table.

Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers Tactical Overview

Both teams enter this fixture with long winless runs and defensive vulnerabilities, which could make for an open contest. Burnley have shown slightly more attacking intent at home, while Wolves’ away record remains one of the weakest in the division. The reverse fixture earlier in the season ended 3-2 in favor of Burnley, suggesting that goals could again be on the cards. Historically, these sides have produced high-scoring encounters, and with both defences struggling, another entertaining match seems likely.

Burnley’s main challenge will be to tighten their back line, as they have conceded in nearly every recent match. Wolves, meanwhile, must find a way to improve their finishing, having averaged less than one goal per game. Both teams have already been relegated, but the motivation to avoid finishing bottom should add some competitive edge to this clash. Given their respective records, a draw would not be surprising, but the attacking tendencies of both sides could lead to a goal-filled finale.

Head-to-Head and Key Numbers

• Last head-to-head: Burnley 3–2 Wolverhampton Wanderers (October 2025).


• Head-to-head record (last five meetings): Burnley 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses.


• Average goals in those meetings: Burnley 0.8 scored, 1.8 conceded.


• Burnley have failed to win in 27 of their last 28 Premier League matches.


• Wolves are winless in their last 17 away league games.


• Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the first half in 19 of Burnley’s last 21 matches.

Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers Prediction

With both sides already relegated, this match is primarily about pride and finishing the season positively. Burnley’s slightly better attacking record and home advantage could give them a small edge, but Wolves’ resilience in recent draws suggests a balanced contest. Given the defensive weaknesses on both sides, a high-scoring game is expected.

BetMines prediction: Over 2.5 goals with 47% probability.