At the Pirelli Stadium, on Tuesday, April 29th, the postponed match of the 38th round of League One will take place, with Burton Albion hosting Wigan Athletic in the hope of securing mathematical safety. According to the standings, the home team needs just one point to move four points clear of Bristol Rovers and Crawley, who are second-to-last and third-to-last in the league, respectively, ensuring their place in League One for the upcoming season. Bowyer's side, in charge since last December, has built this crucial three-point margin thanks to their victory over Cambridge United in a direct clash, quickly bouncing back after their defeat to league leaders Birmingham in the previous round. Securing at least a point in this postponed match isn’t an impossible mission, especially since Wigan Athletic arrives at the Pirelli Stadium with no more ambitions left: Ryan Lowe’s side, which started the season with higher expectations, has had to settle for a mid-table finish as the season progressed. Despite the apparent lack of motivation, the Latics have gone unbeaten in their last six league matches, showing that they are looking to use this final stretch of the season to start building the foundations for next year.

Burton Albion's Recent Form and Key Statistics

Burton Albion comes off an important 2-1 victory over Cambridge United, which lifted them three points clear of the relegation zone, with one game in hand over Bristol Rovers and Crawley. In their last 5 league matches, they have recorded 2 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and conceded per game.

At home, they have earned 23 points from their total of 46 points in the standings (three points clear of the relegation zone), thanks to 6 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses. Bowyer’s team has won 5 of their last 10 home games (3 draws and 2 losses), scoring at least one goal in their last nine matches.

Wigan Athletic's Recent Form and Key Statistics

Wigan Athletic comes off a six-match unbeaten streak, with 2 wins and 4 draws, including a 1-1 draw at home against Blackpool in their most recent League One match. The defense has been particularly strong during this run, conceding only 2 goals in their last 6 matches. However, the attack has struggled, managing only 4 goals in that same period.

Away from home, their form hasn't been impressive: in their last 8 away games, they have recorded only 1 win, a 0-1 victory over Shrewsbury, with 5 draws and 2 losses. Overall, they have collected 26 points in this season’s away games, with 6 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, averaging 0.85 goals scored and 0.81 goals conceded per game.

Burton Albion vs Wigan Athletic Prediction and Tactical Overview

Burton Albion and Wigan Athletic are among the teams with the lowest goal averages in League One, with 1.07 and 0.86 goals per game, respectively. Additionally, the visitors have nothing left to play for in these final two matches of the season, while the hosts may only need a point to secure mathematical safety.

Therefore, the feeling is that neither team will push the game, leading to a match with few goal-scoring opportunities and little spectacle. It is highly likely, therefore, that the match will result in fewer than three total goals, as has happened in the last 8 games played by Wigan Athletic.

For this reason, the BetMines algorithm's prediction for Burton Albion vs Wigan Athletic forecasts a match with fewer than 2.5 total goals.

• The BetMines Algorithm prediction for Burton Albion vs Wigan Athletic predicts Over 2.5 goals at 36%
• The BetMines Algorithm prediction for Burton Albion vs Wigan Athletic predicts Under 2.5 goals at 64%.

Predicted Lineups Burton Albion vs Wigan Athletic

Burton Albion (3-5-2): Crocombe; Godwin-Malife, Sweeney, Armer; Lofthouse, Chauke, Kalinauskas, Williams, Dogson; Bodvarsson, Burrell. Manager: Bowyer.

Wigan Athletic (4-4-2): Tickle; Carragher, Kerr, Aimson, Robinson; Dale, Weir, Adeeko, Mellish; Asamoah, Taylor. Manager: Lowe.