The Andalusian derby between Cádiz and Almería promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the twenty-fifth round in LaLiga Hypermotion. Both sides arrive with contrasting dynamics but share the same ambition: to strengthen their position in the league and keep their season objectives alive. The hosts are looking to end a worrying run of defeats, while the visitors aim to build on their recent high-scoring victory and maintain their push for promotion.

Cádiz’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Cádiz come into this match after a narrow 1-0 defeat against Huesca on February 1, a result that extended their winless streak to three consecutive losses. These setbacks have pushed the team down to 11th place in LaLiga 2, with 34 points, far from the promotion zone that was their main target at the start of the campaign. Their recent form shows 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats in the last five matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.

Throughout the season, Cádiz have recorded 9 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, maintaining a balanced goal ratio of 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded per match. Despite their struggles, the team has shown resilience at home, where they tend to keep matches tight and low-scoring. In fact, under 0.5 goals have been scored in 2 of their last 10 home fixtures in LaLiga 2, and in 4 of their last 20 overall. Their matches also tend to produce a fair number of corners, with over 8.5 corners taken in each of their last 12 games — a sign of their attacking intent even when results have not gone their way.

• Ranking: 11th in LaLiga 2


• Season record: 9W – 7D – 8L


• Average goals: 1.1 scored, 1.1 conceded


• Last 5 matches: 1W – 1D – 3L


• Over 8.5 corners in last 12 matches

For Cádiz, this home fixture represents an opportunity to reset their campaign and regain confidence. A solid defensive display combined with sharper finishing could be key to halting their current slide.

Almería’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Almería travel to the Nuevo Mirandilla full of confidence after a 4-2 victory over Ceuta on February 1. That win ended a three-match winless run that included defeats to Deportivo and Eibar, and a draw against Mirandés. The result also reaffirmed their attacking strength, as they scored three times before halftime and showed the kind of offensive efficiency that has kept them among the top teams in the league.

Currently sitting 4th in LaLiga 2 with 39 points, Almería remain firmly in the promotion race, just three points shy of the automatic promotion spots. Their season record stands at 11 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with an impressive average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. The team has been remarkably consistent in front of goal, having scored at least once in 26 of their last 28 matches. They also tend to perform strongly in the second half, with over 0.5 goals scored after the break in 35 of their last 39 games.

• Ranking: 4th in LaLiga 2


• Season record: 11W – 7D – 6L


• Average goals: 1.8 scored, 1.4 conceded


• Last 5 matches: 2W – 1D – 2L


• At least 1 goal scored in 26 of last 28 matches


• Unbeaten at halftime in 32 of last 35 matches

Almería’s attacking momentum and ability to find the net consistently make them a dangerous opponent. Their challenge will be maintaining defensive discipline against a Cádiz side eager to respond in front of their fans.

Cádiz vs Almería Analysis and Prediction

The head-to-head record between these two sides slightly favors Almería, who have won two of the last five meetings, with Cádiz winning once and two matches ending in draws. The most recent encounter ended 3-0 in favor of Almería on November 16, 2025, highlighting their attacking superiority in recent clashes. However, Cádiz’s home advantage and the urgency to bounce back could make this derby more balanced than the standings suggest.

Statistically, both teams have shown tendencies toward low-scoring games recently. The probability data indicates a 53% chance for Under 2.5 goals and a 47% chance for Over 2.5 goals. Additionally, the likelihood of Both Teams To Score – Yes stands at 53%, suggesting that while goals may come, they could be evenly distributed. With Cádiz’s defensive approach and Almería’s attacking flair, this match could hinge on small details and moments of individual brilliance.

In terms of outright probabilities, Almería are slightly favored with a 41% chance of victory, while Cádiz have a 33% chance and the draw sits at 26%. Given the context and recent performances, a tight and competitive encounter seems likely, with both teams capable of finding the net but perhaps cancelling each other out in the end.

Cádiz vs Almería prediction by BetMines:
Draw (X) with 26% probability.