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Prediction published on Sep 10, 2026 2:58 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on Sep 10, 2026 2:58 PM
Cádiz and Las Palmas meet on September 12, 2026, in the fifth round of La Liga 2. The match kicks off at 14:15 local time at the Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla. The home side enter this fixture still searching for their first league victory of the season, while the visitors are aiming to recover after collecting only one point from their previous two matches. Cádiz sit 18th with three draws and one defeat, whereas Las Palmas are 11th after recording two wins, one draw and one loss. With both teams looking for a response, this Cádiz vs Las Palmas preview points to a competitive encounter between a struggling host and an away side that made a more productive start to the campaign.
Cádiz come into the match after a 3-2 defeat against Almería on September 6. That result extended their winless start to four La Liga 2 fixtures. Their season record currently stands at three draws and one defeat, showing that they have often remained competitive without being able to turn close contests into victories.
The home team's league numbers underline that difficulty. Cádiz have averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season. Across their last five matches, they have registered no wins, three draws and two losses, scoring an average of 1.2 goals while allowing 1.8. Those figures suggest that creating chances has not been their only concern, as the number of goals conceded has also made it difficult to secure a first win.
The defeat to Almería offered another example of that pattern. Cádiz scored twice but still left the match empty-handed after conceding three times. Returning home gives them an opportunity to improve, but their recent record means they will need greater balance over the full contest. Their current position of 18th adds importance to the search for a positive result at this early point in the La Liga 2 season.
Las Palmas arrive following a 0-0 draw with Leganés on September 4. The stalemate came after a 5-2 defeat to Girona, leaving the visitors without a victory in their last two league outings. However, two wins from their opening two rounds mean they still possess a stronger overall record than Cádiz, with two victories, one draw and one defeat from four matches.
Their wider form is also encouraging. Las Palmas have collected three wins, one draw and one defeat across their last five games, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In La Liga 2 this season, their averages stand at 1.5 goals for and 1.5 against per match. Those numbers reflect a side capable of producing in attack, even though the goalless draw against Leganés interrupted their scoring run.
One of the clearest trends concerns their away fixtures in this division. The last 16 away matches involving Las Palmas in La Liga 2 have all produced over 1.5 total goals. This statistic refers to the combined score in those games and gives the visitors' trip to Cádiz a notable goals angle. Las Palmas will nevertheless want to avoid another defensive performance like the one seen in the five-goal defeat against Girona.
The recent numbers create a finely balanced picture. Cádiz are yet to win, but three of their first four league matches ended level. Las Palmas hold the better season record and have also won three of their last five fixtures, although their momentum has slowed after one defeat and one draw in the previous two rounds.
The available win probabilities also indicate an open contest. Cádiz are assigned a 40% chance of victory, compared with 33% for Las Palmas and 27% for the draw. Home advantage gives Cádiz a narrow edge in that assessment, but their lack of a win and Las Palmas' stronger recent results make a decisive outcome difficult to treat as straightforward.
Goals could be central to the Cádiz vs Las Palmas match. Cádiz have scored in line with a 1.3-goal seasonal average but have conceded 1.5 per league game. Las Palmas have the same 1.5 average for both goals scored and goals allowed. In addition, both teams to score is rated at 54%, while the under 2.5-goal option holds a narrow 52% probability. These percentages suggest the possibility of goals at both ends without necessarily pointing to an extremely high-scoring contest.
The head-to-head record favors Las Palmas. From the supplied summary, Cádiz have no wins, two draws and three defeats in this matchup, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The most recent meeting ended in a 3-1 win for Las Palmas on August 8, 2026. That result gives the visitors a positive reference, although Cádiz now have the chance to answer on home ground.
Overall, Las Palmas' stronger five-match form and favorable head-to-head record contrast with Cádiz's need to secure their first league victory. The hosts have drawn frequently and scored twice in their latest defeat, while the visitors have shown a higher recent scoring average. Combined with the run of 16 Las Palmas away league games containing at least two total goals, the statistics support another match with multiple scoring opportunities.
Cádiz vs Las Palmas prediction from BetMines: Over 1.5 goals with 73% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Cádiz
Las Palmas
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
8
2
8
2