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Prediction published on Sep 11, 2025 3:00 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on Sep 11, 2025 3:03 PM
The clash between Cádiz CF and SD Eibar at the Nuevo Mirandilla promises to be one of the most balanced fixtures of LaLiga Hypermotion’s fifth round. Both teams have started the season with similar numbers and are positioned in the upper part of the table, aiming to consolidate their promotion ambitions. Cádiz currently sit in 5th place with 8 points, while Eibar are just behind in 7th with 7 points. With only one point separating them, this encounter could be decisive in shaping the early dynamics of the league standings.
Cádiz come into this match after a thrilling 3-3 draw against Real Sociedad B, a game where their attacking efficiency was evident but defensive fragility cost them the full three points. Overall, their season has been solid: 2 wins and 2 draws in their opening four matches, remaining unbeaten so far. They average 1.8 goals scored per game while conceding 1.3 goals, showing a balance between offensive firepower and occasional defensive lapses.
At home, Cádiz have been particularly strong. They have won at half time in their last 3 home matches and have not lost at half time in 19 of their last 20 home fixtures in LaLiga 2. This consistency in starting games well could be a key factor against Eibar. Historically, their matches at the Nuevo Mirandilla tend to be tight, with under 0.5 goals scored in 3 of their last 12 home games, suggesting that while Cádiz often control proceedings, goals are not always abundant.
In their last five matches across all competitions, Cádiz have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding 1.4. This indicates a team capable of finding the net regularly but still vulnerable at the back. With the support of their fans, they will look to extend their unbeaten run and strengthen their promotion credentials.
SD Eibar arrive in Cádiz full of confidence after a convincing 2-0 victory over FC Andorra. That win highlighted their defensive solidity and clinical finishing, two aspects that have defined their start to the season. With 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat so far, the Basque side have accumulated 7 points, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game and conceding just 0.8 goals, making them one of the most defensively reliable teams in the league at this stage.
Their resilience is also reflected in the fact that Eibar have not lost at half time in their last 19 LaLiga 2 matches. Away from home, they tend to keep things tight, with under 0.5 goals scored in 3 of their last 11 away fixtures. This suggests that while they may not always dominate on the road, they are difficult to break down and often manage to grind out results.
In their last five matches, Eibar have registered 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding only 0.8. Their defensive record is clearly superior to Cádiz’s, and this could be a decisive factor in a match where small details are likely to make the difference. With promotion ambitions of their own, Eibar will not be content with just defending; they will look to exploit Cádiz’s defensive vulnerabilities and aim for another positive result away from home.
Head-to-head history between these two sides is perfectly balanced, with 2 wins each and 1 draw in their last five meetings. The most recent encounter ended in a 0-0 draw on March 31, 2025, underlining the tight nature of this rivalry. In fact, their direct clashes tend to be low-scoring, with Cádiz averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded against Eibar in recent years.
From a tactical perspective, Cádiz will rely on their strong home form and ability to start games well, while Eibar will look to impose their defensive discipline and capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities. Both teams have shown attacking potential this season, but their defensive records suggest that this could be another closely contested and low-scoring affair.
Statistical analysis points towards a balanced game, but with Cádiz holding a slight edge thanks to home advantage. According to the probabilities, Cádiz have a 46% chance of winning, compared to 30% for a draw and 25% for an Eibar victory. Additionally, the Under 2.5 goals market is heavily favored with 62% probability, reflecting the cautious nature of both sides in recent encounters.
Cádiz vs SD Eibar prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 62% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Cádiz
SD Eibar
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
10
0
9
1