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Prediction published on Oct 22, 2026 11:35 AM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Oct 22, 2026 11:35 AM
Cagliari host Bologna in the eighth round of the 2026/27 Serie A season on October 24, with kick-off scheduled for 13:00 at Sardegna Arena. The home side are looking to respond to a 4-0 defeat against Monza, while Bologna arrive after losing 3-1 to Inter. Cagliari sit seventh and Bologna 15th, but neither side’s most recent result tells the whole story: Cagliari had been collecting points consistently before their setback, and Bologna’s away record gives the visitors reason to believe they can make this a difficult fixture.
Cagliari suffered their heaviest setback of the campaign so far against Monza on October 19. Gustavo Varela scored twice in the 4-0 result, with Eddie Kouadio and Jay Robinson also on target. The defeat ended a four-match unbeaten run and left Cagliari seeking an immediate response at home. Before facing Monza, they had won four and drawn one of their opening six league matches, with their other defeat coming by a 1-0 scoreline against Inter.
Across their last five matches, Cagliari have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Their Serie A record after seven games stands at four wins, one draw and two losses, with season averages of 0.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Those figures underline why the Monza result stands out: Cagliari have generally been involved in much closer contests than that four-goal defeat suggests.
Home results offer further encouragement. Cagliari have won four of their last seven home fixtures, although Bologna’s away record means that advantage cannot be taken for granted. Fabio Pisacane also has several availability issues to manage. Riyad Idrissi remains unavailable, while Mattia Felici and Yael Trepy are also expected to be absent. There is a possible return for Deiola in midfield, but the match preview does not present his involvement as certain.
Bologna took an early lead against Inter through Tommaso Pobega before falling to a 3-1 defeat on October 17. It was their fourth league loss in seven games, leaving them with one win, two draws and four defeats this season. Their last five matches have produced one win, two draws and two losses, alongside averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
The visitors’ season averages are 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per Serie A match. They have conceded in eight consecutive games, so keeping Cagliari out will be a challenge. Bologna have nevertheless shown they can take results away from home, winning eight of their last 12 away fixtures. Eleven of those 12 trips were decided by a single goal, a record that points to fine margins even when Bologna have prevailed.
Raffaele Palladino will be without Roberto Piccoli after the injury he sustained last weekend. Riccardo Orsolini and Emil Holm also remain out. Bologna’s league victory so far was a 2-1 win over Lecce, and they will be seeking a more consistent result after surrendering their early advantage against Inter.
The contrast between the teams’ latest defeats and their wider records makes this Serie A preview less straightforward than either scoreline alone might imply. Cagliari have the stronger start to the season and four wins in seven home games, but must show that the Monza loss was an exception. Bologna have won just once in the league, yet eight victories across their last 12 away matches show why the hosts cannot rely on home advantage alone.
Recent meetings also require a careful reading. The last Cagliari–Bologna match finished 0-0 on May 3, 2026. Across the five head-to-head games covered by the supplied summary, Cagliari have one win, one draw and three defeats, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. At home, however, Cagliari have beaten Bologna in five of their last seven meetings. The broader head-to-head record and the home-specific record therefore offer different perspectives on this fixture.
Goals are another point of interest. Cagliari and Bologna have each averaged 0.9 goals scored per league match this season, and the latest meeting between them was goalless. Bologna’s run of eight games conceding a goal and the teams’ high-scoring defeats last time out argue against assuming a repeat of that 0-0 draw. Even so, their season-long scoring figures and the visitors’ succession of narrow away results leave room for a closely contested match rather than another four-goal game.
Cagliari vs Bologna prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Cagliari
Bologna
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
6
4
4
6
2.5
7
3
5
5
3.5
9
1
6
4
4.5
10
0
9
1