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Prediction published on Oct 16, 2025 4:52 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Oct 16, 2025 4:52 PM
Cagliari and Bologna face off on Sunday, October 19, competing for crucial points to achieve their seasonal goals: European qualification and avoiding relegation. The home team, coached by Fabio Pisacane, has been one of the revelations of this season’s start, as after the first six matchdays they already have a 5-point advantage over the relegation zone. However, the Sardinians absolutely need to return to winning ways after collecting just one point in the last two rounds, to avoid undoing the good work done so far. Their opponent is no easy challenge: Bologna, in fact, comes off a 4-0 home win against Pisa and remains unbeaten in the last three Serie A rounds, collecting seven points. Vincenzo Italiano’s men will push to secure their first away victory of the season, but they must carefully manage their energy ahead of the decisive Europa League clash against Romanian side FCSB. This match represents an important test for both teams: Cagliari to confirm themselves as one of the potential surprises of the 2025/26 Serie A, and Bologna to climb further in the table, taking advantage of any missteps by direct competitors.
Cagliari has earned just one point in the last two league matches before the international break, losing 2-0 at home to Inter and drawing 1-1 at Udinese on October 5.
Their performance in the last five games across all competitions (Serie A and Coppa Italia) remains fairly positive: 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.
In Serie A, Fabio Pisacane’s squad has collected 8 points so far, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, maintaining an exact average of 1 goal scored and conceded per match.
The Rossoblù have struggled offensively, also affected by Andrea Belotti’s serious injury, but defensively they appear well-organized, with Mina (doubtful against Bologna) and Luperto forming a reliable central partnership.
Bologna comes into this match with a three-game unbeaten streak, collecting 2 wins and 1 draw across Serie A and Europa League. In their last league match on October 5, they thrashed Pisa 4-0 at home, with goals from Cambiaghi, Orsolini, Moro, and Odgaard.
Looking at the last five official matches, Vincenzo Italiano’s men recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 loss, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.
In Serie A, Bologna has gathered 10 points so far, from 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per match and conceding 0.83.
Offensively, the team is in good form, having scored at least 2 goals in the last four league rounds. In addition to Orsolini, who has 4 goals in 6 appearances, Cambiaghi and Odgaard are back on the scoresheet, a positive sign given the tight schedule Bologna will face in the coming weeks.
BetMines anticipates a very balanced match: Cagliari’s win probability is 35%, while Bologna’s is slightly higher at 38%. Given the uncertainty, betting on Double Chance X2 – draw or away team win – could be a smart choice.
Historical head-to-heads slightly favor Vincenzo Italiano’s side. The last five encounters between these teams ended with 4 Bologna wins and only 1 for Cagliari. The last meeting in Cagliari on October 29, 2024, saw the Emiliani win 2-0 thanks to goals from Orsolini and Odgaard.
Regarding total goals, this match could be tactical with few clear chances. The home team relies on a compact defense, while Bologna’s attack has been goalless in three of their four away matches this season.
For this reason, BetMines recommends betting on Under 3.5 goals, anticipating a match with no more than 3 goals scored.
CAGLIARI (4-3-2-1): Caprile; Palestra, Luperto, Ze Pedro, Obert; Adopo, Prati, Deiola; Folorunsho, Esposito Se; Borrelli. Coach: Pisacane
BOLOGNA (4-2-3-1): Skorupski; Zortea, Heggem, Vitik, Lykogiannis; Freuler, Ferguson; Orsolini, Odgaard, Cambiaghi; Castro. Coach: Italiano
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Cagliari
Bologna
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
9
1
9
1