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Prediction published on Nov 5, 2026 2:44 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Nov 5, 2026 2:44 PM
Cagliari host Frosinone at the Sardegna Arena on November 7 in the 11th round of Serie A. The teams arrive with sharply different recent records: Cagliari have lost four league matches in a row, while Frosinone are unbeaten in their last four. The visitors sit sixth and bring one of the competition’s more productive attacks, but their matches have also left room for opponents to score. Recent meetings between the sides add to the interest in this Cagliari vs Frosinone match preview, with four of their last five encounters producing more than three goals.
Cagliari began their league campaign with four wins, a draw and one defeat in their first six fixtures. Their results have since turned: four consecutive losses leave them without a victory in five matches. The latest setback came against Lazio on November 1. Cagliari took the lead but ultimately lost 2-1.
Across their last five games, Cagliari have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per match. Their season record stands at four wins, one draw and five defeats, with averages of 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Scoring at home has been a particular difficulty: they have managed just two goals in four home league games. That record makes their attacking response an important part of this fixture, especially against a Frosinone side arriving in much stronger scoring form.
Fabio Pisacane’s team must also manage this match without the suspended Obert. The immediate challenge, though, extends beyond one absence. Cagliari have conceded regularly during their winless stretch and will need to improve at both ends if they are to halt it against the league’s sixth-placed side.
Frosinone come into the game after a 2-0 win over Torino on November 1. They have taken three wins and a draw from their last four matches, while their five-game record also includes one defeat. Across those five fixtures, they have averaged 3.0 goals scored per game, alongside 2.0 conceded.
Their Serie A record of six wins, two draws and two defeats has been built on consistent attacking output. Frosinone have averaged 2.4 goals scored per league match, compared with 1.4 conceded. They have also scored at least once in 38 of their last 40 matches, and every one of their last 10 games has featured more than 1.5 total goals. Those figures show why their attack is central to the preview, even if their recent concession rate suggests Cagliari may find opportunities too.
Frosinone’s results have often been positive well beyond their current four-game unbeaten run: they have avoided defeat in 37 of their last 40 matches. They have also led at half-time in eight of their last 13 games, including six of their last 10 in Serie A. Against a Cagliari side seeking to recover from four straight defeats, a strong start would give the visitors another chance to build on their recent form.
The contrast in momentum is clear. Cagliari have no wins in five, while Frosinone have collected 10 points across their last four outings. The hosts’ limited scoring at the Sardegna Arena makes their task harder, although Frosinone’s average of two goals conceded per game over their last five suggests the visitors have not been shutting opponents out consistently.
Previous meetings offer a different angle on the contest. Four of the last five games between these clubs, across Serie A, Serie B and Coppa Italia, finished with more than 3.5 goals. Their most recent meeting ended 4-1 on September 23, 2025. That history points to the possibility of another open game, but Cagliari’s current scoring figures are a reason not to rely on past results alone when assessing this fixture.
For Cagliari, the priority is to turn a promising early-season record into a response after a difficult run. For Frosinone, the opportunity is to carry their attacking form into another league match. The visitors’ stronger recent results, higher scoring average and sixth-place standing give them the clearer case on form, while Cagliari’s home advantage and Frosinone’s recent goals conceded keep the contest from looking straightforward.
Cagliari vs Frosinone prediction from BetMines: Frosinone win (2) with 40% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Cagliari
Frosinone
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
0
10
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
6
4