Predictions
Top Leagues
Feb 21, 2025
On Sunday night, in the 26th round of Serie A, Juventus has only one way to partially forget the bitter elimination from the Champions League last Wednesday: securing all three points at the Unipol Domus against Cagliari. However, this is no easy task, as the home team is coming off two positive results that have helped Davide Nicola's squad climb out of the relegation zone. Currently, Cagliari sits five points above the drop zone, but with 13 matches left in the season, their safety is far from guaranteed. The Sardinians have already troubled top-tier teams this season, as shown by their 3-3 home draw against Milan and their goalless draw against Atalanta in the last round. For Thiago Motta’s team, missing Renato Veiga in defense due to injury, a win in Cagliari would mark their fourth consecutive Serie A victory, strengthening their hold on fourth place. This match is crucial for Juventus, especially given that their Champions League exit (alongside Milan and Atalanta) increases the likelihood that only the top four teams will qualify for next season’s tournament. Additionally, all of their direct rivals (Lazio, Fiorentina, Milan, and Bologna) face relatively easier matches on paper.
Among the teams fighting for survival, Cagliari has been the most consistent over the last five matches, collecting two wins, one draw, and two losses. Since the beginning of 2025, they have lost just two of their seven Serie A games, picking up three wins and two draws.
At Unipol Domus, Cagliari secured a 2-1 home win against Parma in their last outing. However, they have not won back-to-back home games since October-November 2023. In their last six home matches, they have won three, equaling the number of victories achieved in their previous 16 home fixtures combined.
Juventus enters this match following a 1-0 home victory against Inter, with Francisco Conceicao scoring his fifth goal of the season off a Kolo Muani assist. However, their Champions League hopes were dashed after a 3-1 defeat to PSV.
Despite that setback, Juventus has lost just one league match all season and now has the chance to register four consecutive Serie A wins, a streak last achieved between December and January 2024. Moreover, they can secure their second consecutive away victory, something they have yet to accomplish this season after their win at Como in the 24th round.
Despite potential fatigue from their midweek Champions League fixture, Juventus is under pressure to respond with a crucial win to solidify their top-four position. The Bianconeri might look to capitalize on the speed and form of Kolo Muani (5 goals and 1 assist in 4 Serie A appearances) to exploit a physical but slow Cagliari defense.
Cagliari, having beaten Juventus only once since 2010, will try to make the most of their home advantage. They could rely on the creativity of Felici and Zortea on the wings, targeting potential weaknesses in Kelly, who replaces the injured Veiga, and Savona, who struggled against Inter and PSV.
Although this match could be tightly contested (as seen in the 1-1 draw in the reverse fixture at the Juventus Stadium), Juventus is favored to take all three points. According to the BetMines algorithm prediction for the match Cagliari vs Juventus, the probability leans towards an away victory.
CAGLIARI (4-2-3-1): Caprile; Zappa, Mina, Luperto, Augello; Makoumbou, Adopo; Zortea, Deiola, Felici; Piccoli. Coach: Nicola.
JUVENTUS (4-2-3-1): Di Gregorio; Weah, Gatti, Kelly, Savona; Locatelli, Thuram; Conceicao, McKennie, Nico Gonzalez; Kolo Muani. Coach: Motta.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Cagliari
Juventus
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1