The upcoming Serie A fixture at the Unipol Domus sees Cagliari host Pisa in a crucial relegation battle on Sunday, December 21, 2025. Both sides are desperate for points to move away from the bottom of the table, with the home team currently sitting slightly above the drop zone and the visitors struggling to find consistency. The match promises tension and determination as each team looks to end the year on a positive note.

Cagliari’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Cagliari enter this match after a 2-1 defeat away to Atalanta, a result that extended their inconsistent run in Serie A. Despite that setback, the Sardinians have shown signs of improvement at home, collecting four points from their last two matches at the Unipol Domus. Their season record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Over the last five matches, they have registered 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.

One of the most notable trends for Cagliari is their ability to produce action in the second half. Over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in each of their last 13 home matches, and in 22 of their last 24 games overall. This pattern suggests that the team tends to grow into matches, often finding their rhythm as the game progresses.

However, the hosts will have to cope with several absences. Borrelli, Felici, Belotti, and Zé Pedro are sidelined through injury, while Liteta and Luvumbo are unavailable due to international duty at the Africa Cup of Nations. On the positive side, Mina has recovered and is expected to start in central defense alongside either Rodriguez or Luperto. In attack, Sebastiano Esposito is the leading candidate to spearhead the frontline.

• Ranking: 15th in Serie A


• Recent home form: 1 win, 1 draw in last two


• Goals: Average 1.1 scored, 1.4 conceded per match


• Over 0.5 second-half goals: in 20 of last 22 Serie A matches

Pisa’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Pisa travel to Sardinia after a 1-0 defeat at Lecce, their third consecutive loss without scoring. This poor run has left them 19th in the Serie A standings, with just one win from 15 matches. Their season record reads 1 win, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. In their last five outings, Pisa have managed only one victory, alongside one draw and three defeats, scoring an average of 0.6 goals per match.

The visitors’ main issue has been their lack of attacking efficiency. They failed to register a single shot on target in their last match, and their inability to recover after conceding first has been costly — Pisa have lost seven of the eight matches in which they allowed the opening goal this season. Away from home, they have yet to win but have shown resilience with three draws in their last four trips.

Like their opponents, Pisa are also affected by absences due to the Africa Cup of Nations. Nzola and Akinsanmiro are unavailable, while Cuadrado and Stengs remain injured. Coach Gilardino is expected to rely on Marin and Hojholt in midfield, with Piccinini possibly stepping in to fill the gap left by Akinsanmiro.

• Ranking: 19th in Serie A


• Recent form: 3 consecutive defeats without scoring


• Goals: Average 0.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per match


• Away record: 3 draws in last 4 away games

Cagliari vs Pisa Analysis and Prediction

This encounter has all the ingredients of a tight and tactical battle between two sides fighting for survival. Both teams have struggled in front of goal, and their recent head-to-head record reflects that — the last meeting ended 0-0, while the previous one finished 1-1. Historically, these fixtures have been low-scoring, and the current form of both sides suggests a similar outcome could be on the cards.

Cagliari will look to capitalize on home advantage and their slightly better momentum, while Pisa will aim to end their goal drought and avoid a fourth straight defeat. Given the hosts’ stronger home performances and the visitors’ poor away record, the balance tilts slightly in favor of the Sardinians. However, with both teams struggling offensively, a cautious approach is expected, making a low-scoring match the most likely scenario.

Considering the statistical trends, the combination of Double Chance 1X and Under 3.5 goals appears to be the most reasonable prediction. Cagliari have shown resilience at home, while Pisa’s lack of attacking threat makes it unlikely that this will turn into a high-scoring affair.

Cagliari vs Pisa prediction by BetMines:
Double Chance 1X + Under 3.5 goals with a higher probability of success based on current form and statistical indicators.