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Prediction published on May 1, 2025 3:08 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on May 3, 2025 7:02 AM
Davide Nicola’s Cagliari, fresh off a 2-0 away win last Monday against Hellas Verona, have a golden opportunity to take another step toward safety as they host Udinese in Matchday 35 of Serie A. Thanks to goals from Pavoletti and Deiola at the Bentegodi, the Rossoblù now sit eight points clear of the relegation zone. A win over Udinese, combined with negative results from Venezia and Empoli, could mathematically secure their Serie A status with three games remaining. Nicola’s team will benefit from playing at home, where they’ve been particularly solid. Since the beginning of 2025, they’ve lost only three times at the Unipol Domus, and those defeats came against top-half opponents. Udinese, on the other hand, have seen their European hopes vanish and are currently enduring a difficult run. They've suffered five straight losses before managing a goalless draw last weekend against Bologna, a team chasing a Champions League spot. Udinese have been plagued by injuries to key forwards Lorenzo Lucca and Florian Thauvin, though Davis showed encouraging signs last match. According to manager Kosta Runjaic, their new goal is to finish in the top ten—a tough ask given their form and the better momentum of direct rivals like Como and Torino.
With the 2-0 win at Verona last weekend, Cagliari bounced back from back-to-back defeats to Inter and Fiorentina. It was their first away victory since January and moved them up to 33 points, with a record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 17 losses. They now sit eight points above the drop zone currently shared by Venezia and Empoli.
Playing at home remains a significant strength for Cagliari. At the Unipol Domus, they've collected 19 points from 5 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, averaging 1.17 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per match. In their seven home matches in 2025, they’ve earned 3 wins, 3 losses, and 1 draw.
Last Monday, in the Matchday 34 Monday Night Football, Udinese halted a five-match losing streak by holding Bologna to a 0-0 draw at the Bluenergy Stadium. Despite the point, their offensive issues remain glaring—this was the fourth consecutive match without scoring, largely due to the continued absence of Lucca and Thauvin.
Udinese have picked up 17 of their 41 total points on the road, with a record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats. They average 1 goal scored and 1.53 conceded per away game. They’re currently on a three-match losing streak away from home, having fallen to Inter, Genoa, and Torino, scoring just once and conceding five times in that stretch.
As is often the case, Cagliari are building their survival campaign on home form, and they appear well-positioned to at least avoid defeat against Udinese. Nicola can count on the return of Piccoli from suspension, though Pavoletti—who stepped in with a goal against Verona—remains a valuable option.
Udinese showed some attacking promise against Bologna, especially in the first half where Davis hit the crossbar, but their scoring drought continues without Lucca and Thauvin—who together have scored half of Udinese’s Serie A goals this season. A boost for Runjaic comes with the return of Bijol in defense, who was suspended for the Bologna match.
This Matchday 35 fixture looks finely balanced, though Cagliari have a slight edge due to home advantage and their stronger motivation to secure at least a point to inch closer to safety.
For these reasons, the BetMines Algorithm prediction for Cagliari vs Udinese sees slight favourites for the hosts to win.
Cagliari (3-5-2): Caprile; Zappa, Palomino, Luperto; Zortea, Adopo, Makombou, Marin, Augello; Luvumbo, Piccoli. Manager: Davide Nicola
Udinese (3-5-2): Okoye; Kristensen, Bijol, Solet; Rui Modesto, Atta, Karlstrom, Lovric, Kamara; Iker Bravo, Sanchez. Manager: Kosta Runjaic
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Cagliari
Udinese
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
4
6
2.5
4
6
7
3
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1