The upcoming Serie B clash between Calcio Padova and Empoli promises to be a tense battle for survival. Both sides are struggling near the bottom of the table, separated by just one position in the standings. The hosts are currently 15th, clinging to the last spot that guarantees direct safety, while Empoli sit just above them in 14th place. With only a handful of games left in the season, every point could prove decisive in the fight to avoid the relegation playoffs.

Calcio Padova’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Calcio Padova have endured a difficult run of results in recent weeks. The team has lost all of its last five matches, scoring an average of just 0.4 goals per game while conceding 2.0. Their most recent defeat came in a 2-0 loss against Frosinone on April 5, 2026. Over the course of the season, Padova’s record stands at 8 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. These numbers underline the team’s struggles at both ends of the pitch.

At home, Padova have found it particularly hard to collect points. With only 16 points from 16 home fixtures, they have managed just three victories, alongside seven draws and six defeats. This poor home record has been one of the main reasons for their current position near the relegation zone. The team will need to rediscover some attacking spark and defensive solidity if they are to turn their fortunes around.

• Ranking: 15th in Serie B


• Last 5 matches: 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 defeats


• Average goals: 1.0 scored, 1.4 conceded


• Last result: Lost 2-0 vs Frosinone

Empoli’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Empoli have also had a disappointing campaign, especially considering their recent seasons in the top flight. Despite being expected to challenge for promotion, the team has struggled to find consistency. They come into this match after a 1-0 defeat against Sampdoria on April 6, 2026. In their last five matches, Empoli have recorded one win, two draws, and two defeats, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game but conceding the same number.

Over the season, Empoli’s record reads 8 wins, 12 draws, and 13 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. While their attack has shown flashes of potential, defensive lapses have often cost them valuable points. Interestingly, Empoli’s matches tend to come alive after the break — there have been over 0.5 goals in the second half of each of their last 19 away games, including all of their last 11 Serie B fixtures. This trend suggests that the visitors often grow into games as they progress.

• Ranking: 14th in Serie B


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats


• Average goals: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded


• Last result: Lost 1-0 vs Sampdoria


• Over 0.5 goals in 2nd half: in last 19 away matches

Head-to-Head and Match Outlook

Historically, Empoli have had the upper hand in this fixture. In their last five meetings, Empoli have won three times, drawn once, and lost once, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match compared to Padova’s 1.0. The most recent encounter ended 3-1 in favor of Empoli on August 23, 2025. However, given both teams’ current form, this upcoming match could be far more balanced.

Padova’s home struggles and Empoli’s inconsistent away performances make this a difficult game to predict. Both sides have shown defensive vulnerabilities, and with their similar goal averages, a tightly contested draw seems plausible. The fact that both teams have scored in 55% of their matches this season also points toward a potentially open contest, especially in the second half when Empoli tend to find their rhythm.

• Head-to-head record: Padova 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats


• Last meeting: Empoli 3-1 Padova (2025-08-23)


• BTTS (Both Teams To Score): Yes 55%, No 45%


• Over 2.5 goals: 51%, Under 2.5 goals: 49%

Padova vs Empoli Prediction and Final Analysis

This fixture brings together two sides desperate for points and struggling for consistency. Calcio Padova will rely on home advantage to end their losing streak, while Empoli will look to exploit their opponents’ defensive fragility. The statistics suggest a balanced matchup, with Padova holding a 42% chance of victory, Empoli 31%, and the draw at 26%.

Given the similar level of performance and the difficulty both teams have shown in converting chances into wins, a draw appears to be the most logical outcome. The likelihood of goals in the second half adds intrigue, but neither side has demonstrated the consistency required to dominate. Expect a cautious start, followed by a more open second period as both teams push for a decisive goal.

Padova vs Empoli prediction from BetMines: Draw (X) with 26% probability.