The upcoming Serie B clash between Calcio Padova and Mantova promises to be a crucial encounter for both sides, albeit for very different reasons. Scheduled for Saturday afternoon, this fixture brings together two teams that were initially expected to battle for survival but have since taken divergent paths. Padova have managed to establish themselves comfortably in mid-table, while Mantova continue to struggle near the relegation zone. With both teams finding goals hard to come by, this match could hinge on small details and defensive discipline.

Calcio Padova’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Calcio Padova enter this contest in solid form, having collected 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat in their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a convincing 2-0 victory over Modena on January 11, 2026, which further consolidated their mid-table position. Currently sitting 10th in Serie B, the Biancoscudati have accumulated a balanced record this season with 6 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses. Their scoring average stands at 1.0 goals per game, while they concede 1.1 on average.

Padova’s matches have been characterized by low-scoring outcomes. In fact, Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last ten league fixtures, and Under 1.5 goals at half time has also been a consistent trend. Despite their steady performances, the team has shown some vulnerability early in games, having lost at half time in six of their last ten home matches. However, their recent improvement in results suggests growing confidence and stability, especially in front of their supporters.

• Ranking: 10th in Serie B


• Last 5 matches: 2W – 2D – 1L


• Average goals scored: 1.0 | Average conceded: 1.1


• Under 3.5 goals in last 10 Serie B matches


• Under 1.5 goals at half time in last 10 Serie B matches

Mantova’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Mantova continue to endure a difficult campaign, currently placed 19th in Serie B. Their recent form paints a worrying picture: no wins in their last five matches, with 2 draws and 3 defeats. The most recent result, a 1-1 draw against Palermo on January 11, offered a glimmer of hope but did little to ease relegation concerns. Over the season, Mantova have recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.

Scoring has been a persistent issue for the Lombard side, particularly away from home. In their last ten away fixtures, Under 0.5 goals have been scored in two of them, highlighting their offensive struggles. The team’s inability to convert chances has often left them chasing games, and their defensive frailties have compounded the problem. To secure a positive result in Padova, Mantova will need to show greater resilience and efficiency in both boxes.

• Ranking: 19th in Serie B


• Last 5 matches: 0W – 2D – 3L


• Average goals scored: 0.8 | Average conceded: 1.5


• Under 0.5 goals in 2 of last 10 away matches


• Last match: 1-1 vs Palermo

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

The recent history between these two sides suggests a tight contest. In their last five meetings, Padova have won once, drawn twice, and lost twice, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. The most recent encounter ended 1-0 in favor of Padova on November 8, 2025, a result that underlines their ability to edge out Mantova in close matches.

From a tactical standpoint, both teams tend to adopt cautious approaches. Padova’s recent results show a preference for control and compactness, while Mantova often rely on counterattacks but struggle to maintain consistency. Given the statistical trends, another low-scoring affair appears likely, with Padova’s superior form and home advantage potentially proving decisive.

Padova vs Mantova Prediction and Betting Insight

All indicators point toward a balanced but low-tempo match. Padova have shown better form and stability, while Mantova remain in search of a spark to revive their season. The data suggests that goals will be at a premium, with both sides struggling to find the net regularly. Considering the current dynamics, a narrow home win seems the most plausible outcome.

BetMines Prediction:
The analysis favors a Calcio Padova win (1) with a 45% probability. The draw (X) follows at 28%, while a Mantova win (2) stands at 27%. Given the attacking limitations of both teams, the Under 2.5 goals option (56% probability) also appears highly consistent with recent trends.

In summary, expect a disciplined performance from Padova, who should capitalize on their home advantage to secure a narrow victory. A 1-0 or 2-0 result would align perfectly with both teams’ current scoring patterns and the statistical outlook for this Serie B encounter.