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Prediction published on Mar 19, 2026 3:03 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Mar 19, 2026 3:03 PM
The clash between Calcio Padova and Palermo at the Stadio Euganeo promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the 32nd round in Serie B. Scheduled for Saturday at 15:00, this encounter brings together two sides with very different ambitions: Padova are fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone, while Palermo are chasing promotion to the top flight. The hosts need to bounce back after a difficult run, whereas the visitors aim to keep their offensive momentum alive in the final stretch of the season.
Calcio Padova currently sit 12th in Serie B, struggling to find consistency in recent weeks. The team has collected just one win in their last five matches, alongside one draw and three defeats. Their most recent outing ended in a 3-1 loss against Venezia on March 17, a result that highlighted their defensive fragility. Over the last two rounds, Padova have conceded six goals, showing clear issues in maintaining compactness at the back.
Throughout the season, Padova’s record stands at 8 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Despite a generally balanced approach, the side often struggles to convert possession into clear chances. Their home form has been unpredictable, and the pressure is mounting as they sit only a few points above the playout zone. The upcoming match against a promotion contender like Palermo will be a serious test of their resilience and tactical discipline.
Palermo approach this fixture in fourth place, firmly in the race for direct promotion. The Sicilian side drew 2-2 against Juve Stabia in their latest match, showing both attacking flair and defensive vulnerability. Over their last five games, Palermo have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Despite a few inconsistent results, their offensive potential remains one of the strongest in the league.
Across the season, Palermo have accumulated 16 wins, 10 draws, and 5 losses, with an impressive average of 1.7 goals scored per game and only 0.9 conceded. Their attacking line has been particularly effective, supported by a solid midfield that often dominates possession. However, their recent defensive lapses suggest that concentration will be key if they want to secure three points away from home. Historically, Palermo have dominated this matchup, winning four of the last five meetings against Padova and conceding just two goals in total.
This match is expected to feature contrasting styles. Padova will likely rely on compact defending and quick transitions, hoping to exploit any space left by Palermo’s attacking approach. Their main challenge will be to contain Palermo’s offensive rhythm and avoid early mistakes that could tilt the balance. The home side’s defensive structure will need to be far more disciplined than in recent outings against stronger opponents like Venezia or Catanzaro.
Palermo, on the other hand, are expected to take control of possession and push forward with intensity. Their attacking efficiency has been a key factor throughout the campaign, and their ability to score multiple goals per game makes them a constant threat. However, they must remain cautious at the back, as Padova’s counterattacks could exploit any overcommitment. Given the visitors’ superior form and motivation to stay in the promotion race, they enter this encounter as clear favorites.
Historically, this fixture has been dominated by Palermo, who have won four of the last five meetings. Padova’s inability to find the net consistently against the Sicilians adds further weight to the visitors’ advantage. Still, the pressure of playing away and the unpredictable nature of Serie B could make this a tighter contest than expected.
Based on the statistical trends and current form, the BetMines prediction for this Serie B clash favors Over 1.5 goals by the away team. Palermo’s attacking record and Padova’s recent defensive struggles suggest that the visitors are well positioned to score at least twice. The probability of this outcome is supported by Palermo’s strong offensive average of 1.7 goals per match and their need to secure a vital win in the promotion race.
Padova vs Palermo prediction from BetMines: Over 1.5 goals by Palermo.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Calcio Padova
Palermo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
6
4
1
9
2.5
7
3
6
4
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
10
0
9
1